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04.08.24, NCAA Championship

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Posts: 6

TheBlackKnight

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2023

Posts: 1157

Posted: Apr. 8, 2024 - 4:47 PM ET #1

Heading into to today, the Tournament is 14-3-0 and +14.57 units.

1H, Purdue and Connecticut, over 66.0 (-133), 2.66/2.00 units.

clover

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Monkey808

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 32

Posted: Apr. 8, 2024 - 4:53 PM ET #2

would you take over 67.5?

0

Monkey808

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 32

Posted: Apr. 8, 2024 - 4:53 PM ET #3

@TheBlackKnight

Would you take over 67.5?

0

Monkey808

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2013

Posts: 32

Posted: Apr. 8, 2024 - 4:54 PM ET #4

@TheBlackKnight

would you take over 67.5?

0

TheBlackKnight

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2023

Posts: 1157

Posted: Apr. 8, 2024 - 5:07 PM ET #5

Quote Originally Posted by Monkey808:

@TheBlackKnight would you take over 67.5?

Good afternoon Monkey808,

Were it me, I would buy the half point making it 67.0. The reason for the whole number is it reduces the percentage of losing. On a half point total, it's either correct or wrong (50% each side). On a whole number total, you could land on it and not lose money (33.3% chance to win, 33.3% chance to push, 33.3% chance to lose). Yes the whole number reduces your chance of the win but it more importantly reduces the the chance of losing. Hope this helps and clover .

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TheBlackKnight

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2023

Posts: 1157

Posted: Apr. 9, 2024 - 3:27 AM ET #6

Quote Originally Posted by TheBlackKnight:

Heading into to today, the Tournament is 14-3-0 and +14.57 units. 1H, Purdue and Connecticut, over 66.0 (-133), 2.66/2.00 units.

Recapping.

1H, Purdue 30, Connecticut 36

30+36=66

66 = 66.0

Push

Tournament concludes 14-3-1, that's a 82.4% strike rate/win rate and +14.57 units.

Hope you did as well, if not better.

0

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04.08.24, NCAA Championship

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