8-8-1 +8.9u
Shame about the Sparks. Not that they won, but that game happened so early today. I intended to back them, mainly based off their 4th quarter collapse against Minnesota. Oh well.
I don¡¯t see anything I like as much for Thursday but Chicago has my attention. A little surprised to only see them favoured by 3 and not surprised at all to see roughly 75% siding with them currently. Nobody likes betting public favourites but it¡¯s important to remember that they do win sometimes. Anyway, -3 isn¡¯t that different from the -5 we saw on June 6th. Same teams and same location.
For the record, I saw all the way from 4.5 to 6 available for that last game so some (like myself) pushed on the 103-108 final but there were Chicago backers that won as well as Indiana backers that cashed. Regardless of who covered, it was Chicago that came from behind, forced OT, and eventually won. Since that game they have lost two straight and dropped to 5-5 on the season. A 15 point loss @ LA and a 13 point loss @ LV. Comparatively, the Fever have gone 2-1 since that game and most recently destroyed Washington by 21 points. Indiana finished last season with 5 wins and already has 3 this season less than 10 games in.
So¡ is this enough to justify the line shift? I definitely think so. Indiana certainly looks better now than they did 9 days ago and Chicago certainly looks worse. Besides, this number could easily climb to 4 by mid day and then we¡¯re barely talking about a change from the 4.5 where it closed last time.
Obviously there is a small revenge narrative here for Indiana after how the last game ended, but the high of crushing Washington by 21 probably puts a damper on that need for revenge. Not to mention, they¡¯ve won 2 of their last 3 games but that one loss was at home to The Mercury and you know how I feel about that team so I don¡¯t think we should get too excited. This Fever is better than last year and improving quickly but progress isn¡¯t a straight line and I think we could see some regression against Chicago. Sky need a ¡°get right¡± game and should feel confident against this Fever team given how things played out 9 days ago.
Lone road game for Fever. My one real fear with Chicago is that the LV loss breaks them a bit cause I know they wanted that win but this team has shown resilience before and I¡¯ll probably trust them to do it again.
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