Posted:
#1
NRL YTD 20-12-0 +47.30 units
Well the dogs stood up and barked again last week, 1 must ask how much longer can that continue but until the NRL bucks the trend or odds makers get it right we can continue to make some money. Some very tasty lines this week and i will be posting for today and tomorrow as i have a massive club competition for golf tomorrow.
Picks:
Doggies +7.5 5 units @ $1.90
Chooks were unable to get over the line last week in a thriller with the Sea Eagles. Doggies looked good against the Storm and could be showing signs they are coming back to the form of couple years ago. Doggies are 3-1 ATS to open the season and 3-0 in their last 2 games with a couple blow out wins. They were unlucky not to go to golden point with the Panthers after it took a very good kick by Matty from the sideline to win the game. I think Chooks will be happy to welcome back SBW but will miss JWH in the center of the field a little bit. Also like the key line of 7.5 as it allows for that drop goal to seal a game for a side.
Eels +8.0 5 units @ $1.90
Broncos have started every game this year as underdogs. They are 4-0 ATS and 3-1 Su and are 1 of the hot teams in the NRL right now. Now they are required to lay a lot of chalk to a side that has found form over past couple of weeks and believes they can play with the big boys after a big effort against the Sea Eagles and then a good win last week over the Panthers. Eels are 3-1 ATS and 2-2 Su. They have also started every game as underdogs. Like the Broncos for the Su win here but the game will be taken right down to the last 10 mins.
Warriors -4.0 5 units @ $1.90
They were played into form by the cowgirls and now they have kicked on with that last week down in Wellington were after giving up a couple early points they looked very good and came home strong against a good Tigers outfit. Sharks have nothing to offer anybody right now. Not sure what is going on there but just looks like none of the players want to play and they are missing a couple key players in the back row. It is always hard to lay chalk with the Warriors on the road but feel this is the only play and the right one for this game.
Raiders +6.0 5 units @ $1.90
Have said it one and will say it again, Raiders are a great team to back as dogs and the worst team to back when they are favs. Raiders are coming off a good win and the Panthers are off a poor defeat. Raiders are 3-1 ATS with the only hick up against the Titans when they were big time favs. Panthers are 2-2 ATS but for the most part of that game last week did not like the side they did in the first 3 rounds. Perhaps they were tired. I think they get back to simply footy this week in an attempt to battle out a victory.
Saints +2.5 5 units @ $1.90
Love the saints for Saturday night. They welcome back 3 key players and right now the Bunnies have zero form and are playing poorly. They are really missing Luke in the ruck and his decision making ability. Saints get the Su win here but for safety will take the points just in case.
May have some totals plays later but as of right now that is all i have.
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