12/4/24

2-5 last night. A NASTY, dirty, stinking, rotten, no good night for goals.

Who wouldve thought a team that had 10 O5.5 in their L10 and two of the higher scoring teams with two of the higher GAA for the night would be so disappointing? Not this guy. 2-5 yesterday.

No more 1P O1.5 plays for me this year. They look so easy but I really dont have any data to back them up, but most of the time, if you want the Over, getting 2 goals in the first is great way to start so those 1P Overs SEEM like a good idea...when the overs actually hit. In fact, the three games that did go over last night ALL cleared their 1P Over...Maybe the answer isnt to pick and choose which ones to play, but rather if the over play is made, the 1P play comes with it? Thoughts on how you guys do the 1P O1.5?

Speed sheet today has VGK/ANA as the most likely O5.5 candidate but VGK has not been scoring the L5 only scoring 10 goals across those games (one game being a 4 goal game that went to SO). They have allowed 15 goals over that same span which is only an AVG TOTAL GOALS PER GAME of 5...Not enough to even clear an O5.5. Meanwhile ANA has scored 13 goals in L5 and have allowed 12 goals over that 5 game span. Also, an AVG TOTAL GOALS PER GAME of 5. Again, recent play would suggest there is not enough offense between the two teams to play the O5.5. For the season, when playing on the road VGK games are AVG 6 TOTAL GOALS PER GAME, ANA are AVG 6 TOTAL GOALS PER GAME. 

VGK/ANA - 65.83% O5.5/40.46% O6.5/AVG TGPG 6.0/MU 4 L10 O5.5/AWAY TEAM 6 L10 O5.5/HOME TEAM 5 L10 O5.5

DAL/LAK - 54.61% O5.5/36.88% O6.5/AVG TGPG 5.5/MU 3 L10 O5.5/AWAY TEAM 7 L10 O5.5/HOME TEAM 4 L10 O5.5

BOS/CHI - 52.87% O5.5/34.52% O6.5/AVG TGPG 5.5/MU 6 L10 O5.5/AWAY TEAM 4 L10 O5.5/HOME TEAM 2 L10 O5.5

NAS/TOR - 37.72% O5.5/26.94% O6.5/AVG TGPG 5.0/MU 3 L10 O5.5/AWAY TEAM 2 L10 O5.5/HOME TEAM 4 L10 O5.5

Speed sheet has VGK/ANA as the top game but the not sure the current (L5 games) offense can support the O5.5 number. 

Ill keep looking throughout the day. Side leans would be TOR, CHI, VGK, DAL. 

BBL with a play or two. BOL today everyone. Cheers! Off to save the world from the cold! 

I¡¯d lean under on every game tonight. And that isn¡¯t a reaction to last night¡¯s paltry output, just seems like the matchups could provide a lot of totals around 5, 5.5.

maybe getting Ducks under at 6.5 is a play

BOL and thx for the data sets

GL trip - I'm with gains and I rate lots of Unders.  Which of course prolly means every game will go Over...   

I bet over first period when backup goalie is playing.

100% agree! 3 of the 4 games I show tonight as having 5.0 or 5.5 totals. The VGK/ANA game is the only one that has the AVG TGPG above 5.5. But barely at 6.0... 

Thank you DY! I agree with both of you, I have a tough time seeing these games going way over their totals but that probably means we will have 30 goals scored tonight. 

Too busy at work today to cap anything for tonight. No plays for me on any of the early games. I might loop back around when I have had some time to sit and read up, look at goalies and whatnot. 

Too busy at work today to cap anything for tonight. No plays for me on any of the early games. I might loop back around when I have had some time to sit and read up, look at goalies and whatnot. 

I guess the TNT curse is only applicable to games i make a play on 

NAS blows a lead to the leafs. TOR nets 3 goals in less than ten minutes in the third. Missed the empty net by seconds. 

Can anyone figure Boston out? They seem to only want to show up against teams worse than them?

Blackhawks have now dropped 4 in a row and welcome the Jets Saturday night. Eek...

Bottom line ...the game went over the set total of 5.5 without an EN. Didnt have enough indicators to make a play, but its interesting to start to see more 5.5 totals being put out there each night...

DAL/LAK was also set at 5.5 and has 2 in the first.... hmmmm