12/3/24

Sorry for the late post, had the little one Christmas parade today and the cold snap here in NC has got us HVAC folk BUSY! 

checking some goalie stuff real quick but leans for the 7:00 pm puck drops are:

COL/BUF O5.5 I do not like this one but it is posting high on the speed sheet. i think COL data is skewed from earlier in the season. 

FLA/PIT O5.5 

SJS/WAS O5.5 

SEA/CAR O5.5 

also leaning for later:

CBJ/CAL O5.5 

EDM/VGK O5.5 

FLA/PIT O5.5 -165

SJS/WAS O5.5 -175

SEA/CAR O5.5 -160

Still looking at the later plays. I will post the data for these plays shortly but wanted to get them up before 7pm. 

Laying off the COL/BUF game. Although the sheet has:

COL/BUF - 64.61% O5.5/51.28% O6.5/AVG TGPG 6.5/MU 6 L10 O5.5/AWAY TEAM 5 L10 O5.5/HOME TEAM 5 L10 O5.5 - IMO it is likely this clears the 5.5 total but it will take both teams. Neither of these teams are going to gift you a 6-0 win (COL maybe but not likely). I am just laying off COL games until they show me they have stared scoring again. 

Hope you¡¯re not blowing hot air!! See what I did there! 

BOL

FLA/PIT O5.5 - 68.78% O5.5/58.18% O6.5/MU AVG TGPG 6.0/MU 5 L10 O5.5/AWAY TEAM 6 L10 O5.5/HOME TEAM 6 L10 O5.5

SJS/WAS O5.5 - 61.40% O5.5/47.16% O6.5/MU AVG TGPG 6.5/MU 4 L10 O5.5/AWAY TEAM 8 L10 O5.5/HOME TEAM 7 L10 O5.5

SEA/CAR O5.5 - 57.21% O5.5/43.14% O6.5/MU AVG TGPG 5.5/MU 2 L7 O5.5/AWAY TEAM 4 L10 O5.5/HOME TEAM 6 L10 O5.5

No time today to put the goalie checks up but that the speed sheet information for the games played tonight. 

CHEERS!  BOL Gains! 

@triplee2385

CBJ/CAL O5.5 - 65.61% O5.5/48.36% O6.5/MU AVG TGPG 6.0/MU 6 L10 O5.5/AWAY TEAM 10 L10 O5.5/HOME TEAM 4 L10 O5.5

CBJ/CAL Goalie Check - 

Merzlikins 3.07GAA/0.894SV%/1SO/10 of L10 O5.5, you have to date back to 11/5/24 to find the last game this guy played in U5.5. 46 GA in 15 games. 

Vladar 2.87GAA0.900SV%/1SO/4 of L10 O5.5/Allowed 35 goals in 12 games. 

I like the O5.5 in this game. CBJ have been O5.5 Kings thus far and I see no reason to fade them against a team that just beat them 5-2. CBJ is scoring especially against other bad teams. This is going to be one I play

EDM/VGK O5.5 - 72.13% O5.5/54.58% O6.5/MU AVG TGPG 6.5/MU 8 L10 O5.5/AWAY TEAM 7 L10 O5.5/HOME TEAM 6 L10 O5.5

EDM/VGK Goalie Check -

Skinner - 3.09GAA/0.887SV%/1SO/9 of L10 starts O5.5/Allowed 48 goals in 16 games this season. Prior to 11/30 the last time Skinner was involved in a game U5.5 was 10/25/24. 

Hill - 2.85GAA/0.894SV%/1SO/7 of L10 starts O5.5/Team played 14 games in November, 10 of those November games went O5.5, Hill is responsible for 7 out of 10 of those games and had a streak of 4 games in a row clear 5.5 or better. 

I like this game as an O5.5 or even the O6.5 on this one.

BUT it is the top rated game on the speed sheet which typically means two very offensive teams which could end up playing each other very defensively thus creating a low scoring game. 

VGK also just got shut out by UHC. I would think this would fire them up to score some goals. 

Adding:

CBJ/CAL O5.5 -175

EDM/VGK O5.5 -175 

CBJ/CAL 1P O1.5 -135

EDM/VGK 1P O1.5 -150

Parlaying these together (1P O1.5 with O5.5 Line for each game to make 2LP) will give you +130 to +135 odds if you want to avoid the juice on them. I am likely going to wish I went that direction but hoping for the best and that the late games are quick to net a bunch of goals! 

Cheers and good luck everyone! 

Final Plays for 12/3/24

FLA/PIT O5.5 

SJS/WAS O5.5 

SEA/CAR O5.5 

CBJ/CAL O5.5 -175

EDM/VGK O5.5 -175 

CBJ/CAL 1P O1.5 -135

EDM/VGK 1P O1.5 -150

Kicking myself BAD for not playing the O5.5 in the COL/EDM game. That is sure to get 6 total goals, or more...Still need to see more scoring from COL. Everyone has to do their part! BOL tonight everyone! Cheers and LETS GO GOALS! 

Damnit man! 6 shots by the CBJ? 

 These first period overs kill me. They seem so easy when you dont play them and they hit. I gott learn my lessons with these damn things.