Week 14 Props n Plays

Ended up with tiny profit for week 13 due to some great live betting opportunities last night. Hit all the sides and teaser but my pregame posted props all floundered. Live betting props and totals have taken a couple losing weeks this year and turned them into small winners. 

Getting one in early bc I'm sure it goes down. 

GB@DET TNF u51.5 (Too many points for a divisional TNF game. Both team's defenses are playing well and I expect this to play out similar to DET/CHI, SEA/SF, PHI/BAL, BAL/PIT, where the defenses step up for an under, especially on a short week)

GL 

@D-Town 

@Fuse

Added:

Josh Jacobs o14.5 rec yds (Detroit has allowed a bunch of backs to get over this number with big gainers. Jacobs had 13 in their first meeting)

Some more plays now w the prop market expanding. Gotta hit em fast as the market moves quickly on these. 

Bryce Young u199.5 pass yds (I very very rarely play any unders but negative regression coming from the Bryce Young passing attack. I'm happy for the kid having some success and looking good. Played their superbowl against KC and followed it up facing one of the worst pass Ds in the league in Tampa. Now going into Philly to face a legit D. I cant see him getting to 200)

Kirk Cousins o1.5 pass TDs +115 (Expecting Kirk to get back on track with a decent performance after looking terrible last week and the way to attack Minnesota is through the air. Players also tend to step up facing their former feam)

Tyrone Tracy o59.5 rush yds (pretty low total facing a New Orleans defense that is pretty bad against the run. As long as he doesnt fumble and get benched this should clear)

Will Dissly TD +375 (Mcconkey a little banged up and Dissly has become Herberts second trusted receiver this year. KC has been more vulnerable to TEs)

@Yanasaur

 Agree on the under, a lot of trends point to it. Despite the injuries on the defensive side of the ball for the Lions and Pack.

You're only wrong about one thing, it's not a short for either team. They both played on Thursday last week.

GL 

Duh me, yep forgot they both played on Thursday. Good lookin out. 

Welp under was a bad call and Jacobs has not a single target. I dont know. Big swing and a miss on this one by me

Tyrone Tracy over his Rushing yards the BEST of your props..N.O. Rushing defense putrid..I'll play his other rushing Totals as well..

GL this week..

P.S. Dan Campbell is nuts

@Crusher13

Added:

Kyren Williams o69.5 rush yds (Bills give up a lot of rushing yards by design w their defense between the 20s. I'm a Bills fan but I think this will be a competitive game so Rams will be able to utilize the rush all game long. I think Kyren can potentially go over 100 here)

Added:

Jakobi Meyers o63.5 rec yds (hes been over this number in 3 of last 4 and facing bad TB secondary)

Added:

ARI -2.5 (I think they are the better team and I like that Seattle beat them in a weird low scoring game last time. This will be 2nd road game in a row for Seattle after going all the way across country to NY last week)

Added:

Tyrone Tracy TD +135

Will Dissly o35.5 rec yds

Added:

ATL team total o19.5 (think ATL can get the offense moving a little better today and I believe Cousins will have success hence the o1.5 TD passes also)

Saquon Barkley u110.5 rush yds (I know hes amazing, no argument there. I just have to bet this on principle because its an absurd number. Its totally reasonable, but its still high and this is still the NFL. If he gets there good on him)

Final Card:

GB@DET u51.5 

Josh Jacobs o14.5 rec yds 

Bryce Young u199.5 pass yds (I very very rarely play any unders but negative regression coming from the Bryce Young passing attack. I'm happy for the kid having some success and looking good. Played their superbowl against KC and followed it up facing one of the worst pass Ds in the league in Tampa. Now going into Philly to face a legit D. I cant see him getting to 200)

Kirk Cousins o1.5 pass TDs +115 (Expecting Kirk to get back on track with a decent performance after looking terrible last week and the way to attack Minnesota is through the air. Players also tend to step up facing their former feam)

Tyrone Tracy o59.5 rush yds (pretty low total facing a New Orleans defense that is pretty bad against the run. As long as he doesnt fumble and get benched this should clear)

Will Dissly TD +375 (Mcconkey a little banged up and Dissly has become Herberts second trusted receiver this year. KC has been more vulnerable to TEs)

Kyren Williams o69.5 rush yds (Bills give up a lot of rushing yards by design w their defense between the 20s. I'm a Bills fan but I think this will be a competitive game so Rams will be able to utilize the rush all game long. I think Kyren can potentially go over 100 here)

Jakobi Meyers o63.5 rec yds (hes been over this number in 3 of last 4 and facing bad TB secondary)

ARI -2.5 (I think they are the better team and I like that Seattle beat them in a weird low scoring game last time. This will be 2nd road game in a row for Seattle after going all the way across country to NY last week)

Tyrone Tracy TD +135

Will Dissly o35.5 rec yds

ATL team total o19.5 (think ATL can get the offense moving a little better today and I believe Cousins will have success hence the o1.5 TD passes also)

Saquon Barkley u110.5 rush yds (I know hes amazing, no argument there. I just have to bet this on principle because its an absurd number. Its totally reasonable, but its still high and this is still the NFL. If he gets there good on him)