FOX Games:
Philly/Washington - Take Washington +4 and lean OVER. Purely a spot play. Philly has won SU and covered its last 5 road games. In this series, they have also covered and won the last 3 games played in Washington. Despite the Eagles being a solid team coming off an in-state rival victory (which was emotional because of the media on Hurts/Brown matter), this situation is ripe for a regression and the Eagles are due for a non-cover on the road. Washington should be able to stay within the number here. They finish with Dallas and NYG at home after this. It would not surprise me if Washington won this game straight up but I am not playing the ML. This number is a tad too high. By the way, Eagles are on 3 straight UNDER and Washington on 3 straight home OVERS. I lean OVER because both teams coming off an UNDER game. Go opposite if picking a total here.
Detroit/Chicago - Take Detroit - 6.5. Despite Detroit playing its last 3 home games, they did not cover any of them. They are on 3 straight non-covers against the spread. Now they go on the road off of a SU loss and are playing to keep the #1 seed and the division lead. Chicago is coming off of 3 straight road losses with the most recent one on a short week. Did you see Chicago's QB sitting on the bench and his reaction last night. They are on to next season. The coaching advantage is not fair. The talent is far apart and this game will not go like the Thanksgiving game where Chicago snuck up a bit on Detroit. Detroit will be focused for this game division game especially since division tie-breakers come first ahead of conference tie breakers (Think Vikings here). Detroit might be banged up on defense a bit but they will outgun Chicago here.
Rams/Jets - Take Jets +3 and sprinkle on the ML and lean UNDER- Trap line if I ever saw one but it goes deeper than this. By the way, they scheduled the next Rams get to play Arizona on Saturday of following week. This hints at a Rams loss here. Rams have won SU and covered 4 straight road games. Jets are coming off of a road win and now a home underdog. Rams coming off of 2 big emotional games that they won and now have a non-conference East Coast early start road game prior to playing 2 more divisional games at home to close out the year. Jets on 4 straight OVERS. This goes UNDER with a big game from Breece Hall.
Tennessee / Indy - Take Tennessee +4 - Mason Rudolph will have a good game here. He is more competent than Levis. Tennessee sports the better defense. Indy just lost an emotional game in Denver and now has a 1 off home game against Tennessee, who just happens to be one of the worst covering teams in the NFL. However, this series normally plays tight and for some reason Tennessee plays better against Indy on the road than at home. They won and covered 3 of their last 4 games played at Indy in this series. The number is a bit high with a demotivated Indy team coming home to get themselves up to be a favorite when they realize their playoff shot is pretty much over due to losing the head to head tiebreaker with Denver and LA probably beating Denver on Thursday ahead of this game. Take the ugly dog here to ride RB Pollard to a big day against this suspect Indy run defense.
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