YTD (NFL): 74-60-6 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 15-12-1 ATS)
Gone 5-9 over the past handful of games dropping a few BIG PLAYS while at it. Apologies to those who have tailed this week it's been tough I was VERY wrong on Thursday's game, it looked like the field was way bigger than usual as those teams just drove up and down it. Going to hold off on BIG PLAYS until I right the ship. Which should start today with the Ravens.
UNDER 45 (PIT/BAL): These games always seem to go under and with the offensive pieces missing this week and the cold weather I'm pretty sure these teams are going to slug it out again. The Ravens strength on defense is against the run but their weakness is defending the TE, so I do expect Friermuth to have a big game. The Ravens are going to be short many receivers NOT TE's, which Pittsburgh defends well against. So you will see a LOT of Derrick Henry and Lamar running the ball which is always good for UNDERS. On top of that the last 8 games played between these squads have gone UNDER and Lamar, is not very good against Pittsburgh. Without Pickens the Steelers are going to find it hard to stretch the field against a susceptible Ravens secondary. If they have any chance to win the game, it will be through defense and with Watt back he has been a big cog against Lamar getting to the outside. These games are typically very close but I have this going UNDER even though the Ravens are a top scoring offense, just too many parts not in the machine to have it hum like it usually does.
Getting this posted early as I'm going to busy most the day. Might be back with a play on the first game (HOU/KC) but still looking over that. Hope everyone is having a great weekend. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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