I address this to the betting 'line readers' out there and you know who you are?
I see one week #17 line that stinks to high heaven and I am wondering if anyone else thinks so too. I will put the one I found out there later after I get any responses.
If any of you are going to tell me that all the lines look fine, this thread isn't for you. Or if you are going to tell me a story about how the lines are made and how line reading is delusional, this thread isn't for you.
Hope everyone has the basics out there for the Christmas season, food, shelter, health, and a feeling of hope.
Viva Cristo Rey!!!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I address this to the betting 'line readers' out there and you know who you are?
I see one week #17 line that stinks to high heaven and I am wondering if anyone else thinks so too. I will put the one I found out there later after I get any responses.
If any of you are going to tell me that all the lines look fine, this thread isn't for you. Or if you are going to tell me a story about how the lines are made and how line reading is delusional, this thread isn't for you.
Hope everyone has the basics out there for the Christmas season, food, shelter, health, and a feeling of hope.
Tb -7.5 seems off...car a diff team the last few games
Phi -7.0 seems high for division game. Especially if hurts out
Wsh -5.0 hair high imo. Falcons should be competitive here
Den/cin line weird. Oddsmakers clearly like what they have seen from burrow/cinci of late. Kinda like the over 48.0 but tons of playoff implications here
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Lar -5.5 seems high...-3.5 seems more in line
Buf -10.5 seems hair high but Jets do suck...
Tb -7.5 seems off...car a diff team the last few games
Phi -7.0 seems high for division game. Especially if hurts out
Wsh -5.0 hair high imo. Falcons should be competitive here
Den/cin line weird. Oddsmakers clearly like what they have seen from burrow/cinci of late. Kinda like the over 48.0 but tons of playoff implications here
Mine is KC -2.5 @ Pittsburgh. A wounded Steeler team has just been bent over twice and blown out and now face the Chiefs who desperately want the #1 seed. If they win this game, they will sew up the #1 seed. After this game in Steel town, the Chiefs go to Denver so there is still a chance that they could end up tied with Buffalo at 14-3 which would drop them down to the #2 seed.
No guarantee that the walking Steeler wounded will be back either. Pickens might be on a play count if he plays at all. Why is that line only 2.5??? Mahomes has never lost to the Steelers (2-0).
This line leads me to believe that the Steelers are a 'live' dog improbable as that may seem. Yeah, I know Tomlin's record as a dog is amazing but I seriously doubt that the lions' share of the money will be backing the Steelers unless the sharps wade in big time.
Viva Cristo Rey!!!
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Thanks guys for the early responses.
Mine is KC -2.5 @ Pittsburgh. A wounded Steeler team has just been bent over twice and blown out and now face the Chiefs who desperately want the #1 seed. If they win this game, they will sew up the #1 seed. After this game in Steel town, the Chiefs go to Denver so there is still a chance that they could end up tied with Buffalo at 14-3 which would drop them down to the #2 seed.
No guarantee that the walking Steeler wounded will be back either. Pickens might be on a play count if he plays at all. Why is that line only 2.5??? Mahomes has never lost to the Steelers (2-0).
This line leads me to believe that the Steelers are a 'live' dog improbable as that may seem. Yeah, I know Tomlin's record as a dog is amazing but I seriously doubt that the lions' share of the money will be backing the Steelers unless the sharps wade in big time.
Thanks guys for the early responses. Mine is KC -2.5 @ Pittsburgh. A wounded Steeler team has just been bent over twice and blown out and now face the Chiefs who desperately want the #1 seed. If they win this game, they will sew up the #1 seed. After this game in Steel town, the Chiefs go to Denver so there is still a chance that they could end up tied with Buffalo at 14-3 which would drop them down to the #2 seed. No guarantee that the walking Steeler wounded will be back either. Pickens might be on a play count if he plays at all. Why is that line only 2.5??? Mahomes has never lost to the Steelers (2-0). This line leads me to believe that the Steelers are a 'live' dog improbable as that may seem. Yeah, I know Tomlin's record as a dog is amazing but I seriously doubt that the lions' share of the money will be backing the Steelers unless the sharps wade in big time.
Exactly. Feel like it steelers moneyline or no bet.
How is this not a public trap? Best record in the league is less than a FG fave?
No one would even blink if it was 3. Hell they would still question why is chiefs only @ 3.
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Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:
Thanks guys for the early responses. Mine is KC -2.5 @ Pittsburgh. A wounded Steeler team has just been bent over twice and blown out and now face the Chiefs who desperately want the #1 seed. If they win this game, they will sew up the #1 seed. After this game in Steel town, the Chiefs go to Denver so there is still a chance that they could end up tied with Buffalo at 14-3 which would drop them down to the #2 seed. No guarantee that the walking Steeler wounded will be back either. Pickens might be on a play count if he plays at all. Why is that line only 2.5??? Mahomes has never lost to the Steelers (2-0). This line leads me to believe that the Steelers are a 'live' dog improbable as that may seem. Yeah, I know Tomlin's record as a dog is amazing but I seriously doubt that the lions' share of the money will be backing the Steelers unless the sharps wade in big time.
Exactly. Feel like it steelers moneyline or no bet.
How is this not a public trap? Best record in the league is less than a FG fave?
No one would even blink if it was 3. Hell they would still question why is chiefs only @ 3.
Alert alert this game is Wednesday. Don't forget mess around and think you got plenty o time.
Get those bets researched and ready.
Games on Wed. Texans lose Tank Dell and no Diggs at wr. Their offense should suck bad v Ravens. If Ravens show up and wanna play this should be a blowout.
Something tells me not so fast though.
Games Thursday as well?
Then Sat too.
Ok good ideas in this thread.
Keep em percolating.
My 1st glance wacky looks like LAChargers only 5.5 faves.
5.5 is a wacky always fave covers line it seems?
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Alert alert this game is Wednesday. Don't forget mess around and think you got plenty o time.
Get those bets researched and ready.
Games on Wed. Texans lose Tank Dell and no Diggs at wr. Their offense should suck bad v Ravens. If Ravens show up and wanna play this should be a blowout.
Something tells me not so fast though.
Games Thursday as well?
Then Sat too.
Ok good ideas in this thread.
Keep em percolating.
My 1st glance wacky looks like LAChargers only 5.5 faves.
Car +9 (playing everything close with good/decent teams like KC, TB, Phil and AZ. except Dallas game where they just turned it over far too many times)
Dal +7.5 (they are playing much better. even better if Hurts is still out)
Mia -6 (Cle is a trash fire and want to lose to better their draft position)
Indy -7 -120 (NYG is a trash fire and need to lose to keep their #1 draft pick to take Shadeur)
I want to say Jax -1 because Titans will do everything possible to lose and keep their draft pick in the top 3 to grab Cam Ward. They were given a gift by LV winning yesterday. But betting on Jax is not a path to riches
i'm more of a totals guy though and the ones that stood out to me
Cincy over 48.5. Both teams have above average offenses. Cincy defense is the WOAT (which tells you just how bad the Cle offense is with DTR) and Denver can definitely be scored on.
Seattle over 42. Chic offense is not bad and they will do everything to work on that offense with Rome, Keenan, and Caleb. The Seattle defense is not terribly great either but their offense has plenty of firepower, especially when Walker is 100% healthy
Hou under 47.5. This line is crazy to me. Houston offense will shrivel back to nothing without Tank. Stroud needs Nico and Tank to move the ball effectively. Balt will runrunrun and play good defense.
TB over 48.5. Two above average offenses and two very bad defenses
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i see a few sides
Car +9 (playing everything close with good/decent teams like KC, TB, Phil and AZ. except Dallas game where they just turned it over far too many times)
Dal +7.5 (they are playing much better. even better if Hurts is still out)
Mia -6 (Cle is a trash fire and want to lose to better their draft position)
Indy -7 -120 (NYG is a trash fire and need to lose to keep their #1 draft pick to take Shadeur)
I want to say Jax -1 because Titans will do everything possible to lose and keep their draft pick in the top 3 to grab Cam Ward. They were given a gift by LV winning yesterday. But betting on Jax is not a path to riches
i'm more of a totals guy though and the ones that stood out to me
Cincy over 48.5. Both teams have above average offenses. Cincy defense is the WOAT (which tells you just how bad the Cle offense is with DTR) and Denver can definitely be scored on.
Seattle over 42. Chic offense is not bad and they will do everything to work on that offense with Rome, Keenan, and Caleb. The Seattle defense is not terribly great either but their offense has plenty of firepower, especially when Walker is 100% healthy
Hou under 47.5. This line is crazy to me. Houston offense will shrivel back to nothing without Tank. Stroud needs Nico and Tank to move the ball effectively. Balt will runrunrun and play good defense.
TB over 48.5. Two above average offenses and two very bad defenses
I seriously doubt that the KC@Pitts game is being bet evenly for each side. With this deflated line, I suspect the Chiefs are getting the bulk of the action.
I mean who in their right mind can work up the spine to put real money on the Steelers right now considering what has recently transpired with them?
It will be my play but I am waiting to see if they will get the hook (I doubt it). The books have the betting public right where they want them, on the Chiefs IMO.
Viva Cristo Rey!!!
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I seriously doubt that the KC@Pitts game is being bet evenly for each side. With this deflated line, I suspect the Chiefs are getting the bulk of the action.
I mean who in their right mind can work up the spine to put real money on the Steelers right now considering what has recently transpired with them?
It will be my play but I am waiting to see if they will get the hook (I doubt it). The books have the betting public right where they want them, on the Chiefs IMO.
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