Perfect Line - Heat vs Nuggets.

It was really difficult to bet on this third game in the series. The line is where it should be, perfectly. This game does not have factors such as Motivation or fatigue. I will be out of this third game looking for opportunities in the next one. If they forced me to bet on this game, I would bet on the Nuggets winning without a handicap. But the reality is that any team can win this game. Odd or even. The line has no value.</

@GriLo

IMO this third game will reveal how good or bad a coach Malone is ¡ª if he can¡¯t figure out the right adjustments for how to guard Bam at the top of the key and how to make sure Jokic isn¡¯t forced to score 40 pts, Spoel will be laughing all the way to the most improbable championship run since Leceister City 

The over/under is off. Denver give 115 ppg away. Miami scores 111 ppg at home. No reason to think Miami will score less than 107. 

Ha it's funny how every coach who faced the Miami Heat in the playoffs says they are either a bad coach or should be fired (Buden, Tibbs, Mazzu) give the heat and Spols their respect man

Basically the same lines as in the Heat/ Celtic series. + 9 on the road and +2.5 at home for the Heat in each series.  The Heat, no matter what they do still get no respect, similar to the 2004 Detroit Pistons.

@PeAceMaKer7690

MIA has scored 108.7 at home in the playoffs, and DEN has given up 113.4 on the road.  I agree... the total should be much higher.  Seems like the game 1 result is influencing the line too much.  But, that was a much different situation.

Thinking the total is set more off both teams last 5 stats than their season numbers....lot on the line game 3 as well as far as series implications ..altho game 5 tied 2-2 typically a better under spot 

Denver avg 110.4 last 5

Miami avg 101.4 last 5

Den allowing 105.2 last 5

Mia allowing 102.0 last 5

[Quote: Originally Posted by GriLo]It was really difficult to bet on this third game in the series. The line is where it should be, perfectly. This game does not have factors such as Motivation or fatigue. I will be out of this third game looking for opportunities in the next one. If they forced me to bet on this game, I would bet on the Nuggets winning without a handicap. But the reality is that any team can win this game. Odd or even. The line has no value.

I wholeheartedly agree with everything you said. 

True, its crazy how this Miami team gets no respect

@Kaname484

People have a perception, and when reality does match the perception and the beliefs that have formed around them, they are forced to rationalize by blaming someone or something. That's where scripting and magnet-theory come from, also. At least blaming the coach is based in some semblance of basketball reality.

& we all saw who won that yr

Neither team is motivated to win?