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My NBA Model

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Posts: 17

smartbets

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7950

Posted: Dec. 22, 2024 - 9:05 PM ET #1

Been working on this model for some time, just starting a tracking thread for it.

It was designed as an ATS model, I have separate sheets for totals which I post in other threads.

I started tracking on 12/14 so it is still early, but figured if it holds strong at 55-56%, I'd share the info for people who wanted it.

I still get dm's to this day for my tip plays, for those who have been here long enough to remember.

Tonight it had IND +2, TOR +8, NOP +10.

I will update it daily

peace_5

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smartbets

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7950

Posted: Dec. 23, 2024 - 4:19 PM ET #2

Today's Plays

CHA +7

UTA +14

ORL +11

BKN +10.5

ATL +4.5

TOR +14

MEM -5

WSH +18

CHI +3

POR +10

IND +6

DEN -4

DET +6.5

peace_5

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wantwinners

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 219

Posted: Dec. 23, 2024 - 4:26 PM ET #3

Bulls r favored

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smartbets

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7950

Posted: Dec. 23, 2024 - 4:29 PM ET #4

Quote Originally Posted by wantwinners:

Bulls r favored

was +2/2.5 till noon today...I don't take bad numbers. Overnight was +3 an_light

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smellieflower

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2020

Posts: 712

Posted: Dec. 23, 2024 - 4:42 PM ET #5

is ATS your y that your predicting ?

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docterd597

MVP

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 16653

Posted: Dec. 23, 2024 - 4:45 PM ET #6

an_popcorn

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wantwinners

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 219

Posted: Dec. 23, 2024 - 4:49 PM ET #7

Well ur model doesn��t account for key players being out either, u cant get the bulls at plus 3 anymore

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smartbets

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7950

Posted: Dec. 23, 2024 - 5:37 PM ET #8

Quote Originally Posted by wantwinners:

Well ur model doesn��t account for key players being out either, u cant get the bulls at plus 3 anymore

my model takes into account many players....chi was +2.5 before lunch today. If you didn't get it at +2, then do as you wish. I am just sharing info. an_light

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smartbets

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7950

Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 1:16 AM ET #9

8-5 tonight, 35-16 +16.10 since i launched this on betstamp 12/14...11-5 +5.75 posted on covers

peace_5

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smellieflower

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2020

Posts: 712

Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 1:25 AM ET #10

so is ATS your y that your predicting ? or naw

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smartbets

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7950

Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 1:33 AM ET #11

@smellieflower

this model is designed for ATS...My other sheets do totals, which i do post.

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smellieflower

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2020

Posts: 712

Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 1:51 AM ET #12

i think your ats model is super interesting to me. i never thought to predict the ATS(spread) im just predicting home team and away team points based on a game window that i have set in the model. maybe we can talk about this more in the coming days ?

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smartbets

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7950

Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 1:58 AM ET #13

Quote Originally Posted by smellieflower:

i think your ats model is super interesting to me. i never thought to predict the ATS(spread) im just predicting home team and away team points based on a game window that i have set in the model. maybe we can talk about this more in the coming days ?

of course, my dm is always open peace_5

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umgmu

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2005

Posts: 40407

Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 2:28 AM ET #14

@smartbets

Great stuff win

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Yessss88

All-Star

Joined: Mar, 2015

Posts: 12125

Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 9:09 AM ET #15

@smartbets

an_cheers

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smartbets

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7950

Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 12:11 PM ET #16

Christmas Eve

DAL -4.5

PHI +10.5

LAL +4.5

peace_5

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Fuse

Legend

Joined: Mar, 2016

Posts: 61370

Posted: Dec. 24, 2024 - 12:40 PM ET #17

SB peace clover

Learn, be content and stay disciplined.

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My NBA Model

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