(Batting Average vs. LHP/ Batting Average vs. RHP)
It¡¯s a smaller sample size with only 68 PA, but Scott Carroll (RHP) gets absolutely blasted by LHB. Lefties are hitting .393 with a 1.033 OPS, and striking out only 0.7% of the time. Carroll also wins the award for worst road pitcher on the board (.348/.902/1.6 K/9.) This might mean a nice spot start opportunity for Alex Gordon. Though he¡¯s hitting .261 v/RHP, and .222 at home, he is nearly min priced on FD at $2300. Eric Hosmer (.255/.313) is another candidate for a solid evening, although his home/road splits (.231/.348) don¡¯t instill too much confidence.
Lefties have hit only .164 against Drew Smiley (LHP,) which makes the suddenly red hot David Murphy (.216/.304) less valuable.
Jason Vargas (LHP) has had a tough time lately with LHB (.297/ 7.25,) which could mean good things for Conor Gillaspie (.296/.348) who is 6 for his last 13 over the last three days. The same can¡¯t be said for Alexi Ramirez (.237/.346.) who is 4 for 21 in his last 6.
Dallas Kuechel (LHP) is the second worst pitcher on the board tonight in terms of BAA/OPSA. Righties are hitting .286/.780 and lefties aren¡¯t much worse at .279/.733. This makes Mike Trout (.333/.237) even more appealing than usual, and 2B Grant Green (.438/.222) matches up quite nicely as well. He¡¯s hit safely in 8 of the last 9 games he¡¯s started, and he is nearly min priced across the board. Hank Conger (.333/.291) remains a nice option at catcher as long as he¡¯s in the lineup.
Dexter Fowler (.325/.245) is 9 for 20 with 9 BB in his last 6.
Miguel Cabrera (.222/.344) is back to being his usual self with 14 hits, 3 HR, and 14 RBI in his last 8, and will face righty Cory Kluber this evening, whom he¡¯s crushed to the tune of 8 for 17 with 3 HR. Cabrera easily has the most upside of anyone on the board tonight. If there¡¯s ever a good time to predict a home run in 1/162nd of a season, it¡¯s right now.
Though I like punting on catcher most nights, it¡¯s hard not to notice Devin Mesoroco¡¯s (.615/.463) incredible start to the season. In his first two games back from a three week stint on the DL, all he¡¯s done is homer in the first one and go 4 for 4 in the second one. He¡¯s the one guy in the Red¡¯s lineup who can be started with little hesitation right now, regardless of the matchup.
If you¡¯ve been betting the under every time Wily Peralta takes the hill, you¡¯re 7-1 this year. Distinguishing whether or not that¡¯s a testament to good pitching or poor run support can be tricky, but I will be avoiding the Brewers bats all together against Mike Minor. Not one Brewer cracks the top 50 in OPS over the Last 7, and as a team they are hitting just .208 against LHP in their last 10. Carlos Gomez (.233/.304) is questionable for the game, and Ryan Braun (.273/.329) isn¡¯t worth paying up for when there are options like Trout and Cabrera available for right around the same price.
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