Tiger-Cats vs Redblacks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Week 21

Despite Hamilton's playoff hopes being dashed, Bo Levi Mitchell & Co. have shown strong enough form down the stretch for Rohit Ponnaiaya to snag the points ahead of Friday's regular-season finale.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya ? Betting Analyst
Oct 23, 2024 ? 14:45 ET ? 4 min read
Bo Levi Mitchell Hamilton Tiger-Cats CFL
Photo By - Imagn Images

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats wrap up their season with a road trip to the nation's capital to face the Ottawa Redblacks on Friday.

Although Ottawa will be in the playoffs for the first time since 2018, my Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks predictions are fading them in a largely meaningless Week 21 showdown. Here are my best free CFL picks for this clash on October 25.

Tiger-Cats vs Redblacks prediction

My best bet
Tiger-Cats +2.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

My analysis

On one hand, this is an Ottawa Redblacks team that doesn't want to go into the playoffs having lost six games in a row. On the other hand, they dealt with a slew of injuries during the second half of the season and will be reluctant to risk playing starters. 

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats were already eliminated from the playoffs last week, but that didn't stop them from playing with fire and demolishing the Stampeders 42-20. After an ugly start to their season, the Ticats have gone 5-1 straight up and against the spread in their last six games.

The turnover problems that plagued the Tabbies earlier in the year have been cleaned up and they now lead the CFL in yards per game (398.6) and yards per play (7.03).

Quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell has put together a resurgent season, leading the league in passing yards (5,026) and touchdowns (31) by wide margins. He should light up an Ottawa secondary allowing 309.6 passing yards per game and 9.7 yards per pass attempt over the last seven contests.

In a game between two teams with little to play for in the final week of the regular season, it's often advisable to simply back the side catching points. That's even more of the case when the favorite comes in on a losing streak.

Tiger-Cats vs Redblacks same-game parlay (SGP)

Tiger-Cats +2.5

Over 50.5

With an explosive offense and a leaky defense, the Ticats are 5-1 O/U in their last six games. Meanwhile, the Redblacks combined for 876 yards and 69 points with Toronto last week.

In their matchup last month, both teams combined for over 430 yards of offense and scored 58 points, despite totaling seven turnovers. Ottawa benched Dru Brown near the end of the third quarter in that contest and backup Jeremiah Masoli completed 13-of-19 passes for 183 yards and two scores. Even if Brown doesn't play much this week, the Redblacks should still be able to move the ball with the experienced Masoli. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Tiger-Cats vs Redblacks odds

Tiger-Cats vs Redblacks live odds

Tiger-Cats vs Redblacks opening odds

  • Spread: Hamilton +2.5 | Ottawa -2.5
  • Moneyline: Hamilton +115 | Ottawa -135
  • Over/Under: Over 50.5 | Under 50.5

Tiger-Cats vs Redblacks spread and Over/Under analysis

  • This line has remained at the opening number of -2.5 but could see movement when the Redblacks release their depth chart on Thursday. 
  • The Redblacks went 8-3-1 SU and 8-4 ATS in their first 12 games but are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five.
  • The Tiger-Cats began the year 2-8 SU and ATS but have gone 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS since.
  • These teams have clashed twice this year, with Ottawa winning on a last-second FG at home in Week 4 and the Ticats prevailing 37-21 in Week 15.

Tiger-Cats vs Redblacks trend

Hamilton is 5-1 SU and ATS in its last six trips to Ottawa. Find more CFL betting trends for Tiger-Cats vs. Redblacks.

Tiger-Cats vs Redblacks game info

Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Date: Friday, 10-25-2024
Kick-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Tiger-Cats vs Redblacks key injuries

Tiger-Cats: Shemar Bridges WR (Out), Jamal Peters CB (Out), Kyle Wilson LB (Questionable), Quinton Barrow OT (Out).
Redblacks: Justin Hardy WR (Out), Khalan Laborn RB (Out), Jamal Morrow RB (Out), Adarius Pickett LB (Out), Dino Boyd LT (Out), Alonzo Addae DB (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Tiger-Cats vs Redblacks weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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