Alouettes vs Lions Prediction, Picks & Odds for Week 20

Week 20 features Montreal and BC facing off inside the dome at BC Place, and Trevor Knapp anticipates both offenses moving the ball effectively.

Trevor Knapp - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp ? Publishing Editor
Oct 18, 2024 ? 09:52 ET ? 4 min read
Vernon Adams Jr. BC Lions CFL
Photo By - Imagn Images

With the playoffs just two weeks away, the postseason picture is already settled for both the Montreal Alouettes and BC Lions. However, that doesn’t mean there isn’t a betting edge to be found ahead of Saturday night’s battle in Vancouver.

With Vernon Adams Jr. looking to cement himself as BC's starter in the postseason and Davis Alexander playing well under center for Montreal, my Alouettes vs. Lions predictions expect both offenses to move the chains. 

Find out more in my CFL picks for Saturday, October 19. 

Alouettes vs Lions prediction

My best bet
Over 48.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

My analysis

Although Vernon Adams Jr. has attempted just seven passes over the BC Lions' last eight games, Nathan Rourke's struggles were enough for head coach Rick Campbell to make the switch at quarterback for their Week 20 matchup against the Montreal Alouettes

It's easy to forget that Adams was spearheading CFL MOP odds at one point, as the former Oregon product was the league leader in both passing yards and passing touchdowns entering Week 9. However, Adams and the Leos hit a wall by losing five straight, and when the dual-threat pivot went down with a knee injury on August 2, BC made the call to sign Nathan Rourke after his release from the NFL. 

Following Rourke leading BC to a disappointing 3-5 record with a 4-9 TD/INT ratio, Adams will look to prove that he should be under center once the playoffs arrive. I expect Adams to let his "Big Play VA" moniker come alive, being aggressive down the field while Montreal's offense plays catch up.

Despite the Leos' offense struggles, Adams boasted 330+ passing yards in five of his eight starts this season. The receiving corps also remains loaded — featuring CFL yards leader Justin McInnis, former Minnesota Vikings wideout Alexander Hollins, and 2023 All-Star Keion Hatcher. 

Meanwhile, the Alouettes have first place in the East locked up, with the defending Grey Cup champs set to host the Eastern Final for the first time since 2012. At this point, the Als will focus on staying healthy over their final two regular season games, with HC Jason Maas opting to start backup QB Davis Alexander on Saturday.

The Montreal quarterback has held his own in five appearances this season, possessing a 107.9 passer rating and stringing together three straight wins in August when starter Cody Fajardo was injured. Alexander should continue to be effective on Saturday, facing a Leos defense that is both banged up and allowing a league-worst 73.9% completion percentage to opposing QBs. 

Bank on a high-scoring track meet inside BC Place.

Alouettes vs Lions same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 48.5

Lions moneyline

With markets limited due to playoff seeding being locked in for each team, we'll have to settle with picking a side.

The Lions have been in a freefall since starting the season 5-1, so a win heading into the Western Semi-Final is crucial for BC to regain some momentum.

They already got the best of the Als back in Week 14, prevailing 37-23 at Percival Molson Stadium. As -130 favorites, let's back BC to create a nice little multiplier for our best bet.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Alouettes vs Lions odds

Alouettes vs Lions live odds

Alouettes vs Lions opening odds

  • Spread: Montreal -1.5 (-105) | BC +1.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Montreal -115 | BC -105
  • Over/Under: Over 46.5 (-11) | Under 46.5 (-110)

Alouettes vs Lions spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Alouettes are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
  • The Lions are 4-1 ATS versus teams with a winning record.
  • The Over is 4-1 in Montreal's last five games following a win. 

Alouettes vs Lions trend

Montreal is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 meetings in BC. Find more CFL betting trends for Alouettes vs. Lions.

Alouettes vs Lions game info

Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Date: Saturday, 10-19-2024
Kick-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Alouettes vs Lions key injuries

Alouettes: Mustafa Johnson DL (Out), Frederic Chagnon DB (Out), Tysen-Otis Copeland DB (Out), Kristian Matte OL (Out), Cre'von Leblanc DB (Out), Brock Gowanlock FB (Out). 
Lions: Jevon Cottoy WR (Questionable), Ciante Evans DB (Out), Adrian Green DB (Out), Tyler Packer OL (Out). 
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Alouettes vs Lions weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Publishing Editor

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Toronto Blue Jays and Indianapolis Colts fan.

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