New York @ Dallas props

The Cowboys are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script. Opposing teams have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: fewest in football. CeeDee Lamb's 60.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 71.1. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Cowboys ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. CeeDee Lamb's 69.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a significant regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 74.7% rate.

The Cowboys are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script. Opposing teams have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: fewest in football. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Cowboys ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Giants to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.4% pass rate. Opposing QBs have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

The New York Giants may take to the air less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock. A passing game script is suggested by the Giants being a -4.5-point underdog this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.5 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The New York Giants may take to the air less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock. A passing game script is suggested by the Giants being a -4.5-point underdog this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.4 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.5 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cowboys are anticipated by the projection model to call 67.7 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week. The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Cowboys this year (a whopping 61.0 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this game, Rico Dowdle is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets.