NFL Player Props and Best Projections

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Matchups
Projections
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Props ? Cincinnati

M. Gesicki
tight end TE ? Cincinnati
Prop
24.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
34.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. In this game, Mike Gesicki is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.8 targets. Mike Gesicki has accrued quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (38.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).

Mike Gesicki

Prop: 24.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 34.7
Prop:
24.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
34.7

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. In this game, Mike Gesicki is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.8 targets. Mike Gesicki has accrued quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (38.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).

All Matchup props

Tee Higgins Receiving Yards Props ? Cincinnati

T. Higgins
wide receiver WR ? Cincinnati
Prop
70.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
86.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Tee Higgins to notch 10.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. After accruing 81.0 air yards per game last year, Tee Higgins has posted big gains this year, now pacing 110.0 per game.

Tee Higgins

Prop: 70.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 86.8
Prop:
70.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
86.8

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Tee Higgins to notch 10.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. After accruing 81.0 air yards per game last year, Tee Higgins has posted big gains this year, now pacing 110.0 per game.

All Matchup props

Cooper Rush Passing Yards Props ? Dallas

C. Rush
quarterback QB ? Dallas
Prop
230.5
Passing Yards
Projection
260.7
Best Odds
Over
-113

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Cooper Rush

Prop: 230.5 Passing Yards
Projection: 260.7
Prop:
230.5 Passing Yards
Projection:
260.7

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

All Matchup props

Cooper Rush Rushing Yards Props ? Dallas

C. Rush
quarterback QB ? Dallas
Prop
2.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
2.5 Rushing Yards
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game. The predictive model expects Cooper Rush to be much more involved in his offense's ground game this week (12.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.7% in games he has played). Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (132 per game) vs. the Bengals defense this year.

Cooper Rush

Prop: 2.5 Rushing Yards
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
2.5 Rushing Yards
Projection:
7.3

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game. The predictive model expects Cooper Rush to be much more involved in his offense's ground game this week (12.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.7% in games he has played). Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (132 per game) vs. the Bengals defense this year.

All Matchup props

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Props ? Cincinnati

J. Burrow
quarterback QB ? Cincinnati
Prop
8.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-113

A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. Joe Burrow's ground efficiency has been refined this season, notching 6.09 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 5.11 figure last season. This year, the porous Cowboys run defense has conceded a staggering 151.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-worst in football. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Dallas's unit has been terrible this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Joe Burrow

Prop: 8.5 Rushing Yards
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
8.5 Rushing Yards
Projection:
13.9

A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. Joe Burrow's ground efficiency has been refined this season, notching 6.09 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 5.11 figure last season. This year, the porous Cowboys run defense has conceded a staggering 151.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-worst in football. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Dallas's unit has been terrible this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Props ? Cincinnati

J. Burrow
quarterback QB ? Cincinnati
Prop
270.5
Passing Yards
Projection
295.2
Best Odds
Over
-113

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.5 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs. Joe Burrow has passed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (278.0) this season than he did last season (241.0).

Joe Burrow

Prop: 270.5 Passing Yards
Projection: 295.2
Prop:
270.5 Passing Yards
Projection:
295.2

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.5 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs. Joe Burrow has passed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (278.0) this season than he did last season (241.0).

All Matchup props

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Props ? Dallas

J. Ferguson
tight end TE ? Dallas
Prop
37.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
46
Best Odds
Over
-110

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Jake Ferguson

Prop: 37.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 46
Prop:
37.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
46

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

All Matchup props

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Props ? Dallas

C. Lamb
wide receiver WR ? Dallas
Prop
66.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
77.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

CeeDee Lamb

Prop: 66.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 77.1
Prop:
66.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
77.1

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

All Matchup props

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Props ? Dallas

R. Dowdle
running back RB ? Dallas
Prop
15.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Rico Dowdle

Prop: 15.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 19
Prop:
15.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
19

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

All Matchup props

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Props ? Dallas

R. Dowdle
running back RB ? Dallas
Prop
67.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
62.5
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 36.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Rico Dowdle

Prop: 67.5 Rushing Yards
Projection: 62.5
Prop:
67.5 Rushing Yards
Projection:
62.5

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 36.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

All Matchup props

Chase Brown Rushing Yards Props ? Cincinnati

C. Brown
running back RB ? Cincinnati
Prop
75.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
70.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to run on 35.0% of their plays: the lowest clip on the slate this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

Chase Brown

Prop: 75.5 Rushing Yards
Projection: 70.3
Prop:
75.5 Rushing Yards
Projection:
70.3

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to run on 35.0% of their plays: the lowest clip on the slate this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

All Matchup props

Chase Brown Receiving Yards Props ? Cincinnati

C. Brown
running back RB ? Cincinnati
Prop
23.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. This week, Chase Brown is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.5 targets. Chase Brown has accrued a whopping 3.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

Chase Brown

Prop: 23.5 Receiving Yards
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
23.5 Receiving Yards
Projection:
26.1

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. This week, Chase Brown is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.5 targets. Chase Brown has accrued a whopping 3.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

All Matchup props

Mike Gesicki Receptions Made Props ? Cincinnati

M. Gesicki
tight end TE ? Cincinnati
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Over
+102

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. In this game, Mike Gesicki is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.8 targets. Mike Gesicki's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a meaningful progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 2.0 mark.

Mike Gesicki

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.2

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. In this game, Mike Gesicki is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.8 targets. Mike Gesicki's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a meaningful progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 2.0 mark.

All Matchup props

Joe Burrow Passing Attempts Props ? Cincinnati

J. Burrow
quarterback QB ? Cincinnati
Prop
36.5
Passing Attempts
Projection
38.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.5 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs.

Joe Burrow

Prop: 36.5 Passing Attempts
Projection: 38.9
Prop:
36.5 Passing Attempts
Projection:
38.9

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.5 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs.

All Matchup props

Jake Ferguson Receptions Made Props ? Dallas

J. Ferguson
tight end TE ? Dallas
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Over
+115

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league. With an outstanding 4.8 adjusted receptions per game (92nd percentile) this year, Jake Ferguson ranks among the best pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

Jake Ferguson

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.1
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.1

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league. With an outstanding 4.8 adjusted receptions per game (92nd percentile) this year, Jake Ferguson ranks among the best pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Cooper Rush Interceptions Thrown Props ? Dallas

C. Rush
quarterback QB ? Dallas
Prop
0.5
Interceptions Thrown
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Cooper Rush

Prop: 0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection:
1.2

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

All Matchup props

Joe Burrow Passing Completions Props ? Cincinnati

J. Burrow
quarterback QB ? Cincinnati
Prop
24.5
Passing Completions
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Over
+100

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.5 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs. With an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow rates among the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL.

Joe Burrow

Prop: 24.5 Passing Completions
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
24.5 Passing Completions
Projection:
25.9

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.5 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs. With an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow rates among the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Cooper Rush Passing Attempts Props ? Dallas

C. Rush
quarterback QB ? Dallas
Prop
36.5
Passing Attempts
Projection
38.4
Best Odds
Over
-105

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Cooper Rush

Prop: 36.5 Passing Attempts
Projection: 38.4
Prop:
36.5 Passing Attempts
Projection:
38.4

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

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Cooper Rush Passing Completions Props ? Dallas

C. Rush
quarterback QB ? Dallas
Prop
22.5
Passing Completions
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-118

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Cooper Rush

Prop: 22.5 Passing Completions
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
22.5 Passing Completions
Projection:
24.4

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

All Matchup props

Cooper Rush Passing Touchdowns Props ? Dallas

C. Rush
quarterback QB ? Dallas
Prop
1.5
Passing Touchdowns
Projection
1.6
Best Odds
Over
+148

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (62.2% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Cooper Rush

Prop: 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Projection: 1.6
Prop:
1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Projection:
1.6

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (62.2% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

All Matchup props

Tee Higgins Receptions Made Props ? Cincinnati

T. Higgins
wide receiver WR ? Cincinnati
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Tee Higgins to notch 10.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. Tee Higgins's pass-catching performance improved this season, notching 6.2 adjusted catches compared to a measly 3.6 last season.

Tee Higgins

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.6

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Tee Higgins to notch 10.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. Tee Higgins's pass-catching performance improved this season, notching 6.2 adjusted catches compared to a measly 3.6 last season.

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Joe Burrow Passing Touchdowns Props ? Cincinnati

J. Burrow
quarterback QB ? Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Passing Touchdowns
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Over
-184

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Right now, the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league in the red zone (64.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. With an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow rates among the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL.

Joe Burrow

Prop: 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Projection:
2.2

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Right now, the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league in the red zone (64.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. With an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow rates among the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL.

All Matchup props

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Made Props ? Dallas

C. Lamb
wide receiver WR ? Dallas
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-198

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

CeeDee Lamb

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.2

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

All Matchup props

Chase Brown Receptions Made Props ? Cincinnati

C. Brown
running back RB ? Cincinnati
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. This week, Chase Brown is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.5 targets. Chase Brown's 16.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 4.5.

Chase Brown

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. This week, Chase Brown is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.5 targets. Chase Brown's 16.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 4.5.

All Matchup props

Rico Dowdle Receptions Made Props ? Dallas

R. Dowdle
running back RB ? Dallas
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Rico Dowdle

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

All Matchup props

Joe Burrow Interceptions Thrown Props ? Cincinnati

J. Burrow
quarterback QB ? Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Interceptions Thrown
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.5 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Dallas's collection of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in football.

Joe Burrow

Prop: 0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Interceptions Thrown
Projection:
0.5

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.5 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Dallas's collection of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in football.

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