LIVE 09:47 1st Dec 28
OKC 5 -13.5 o214.0
CHA 0 13.5 u214.0
NY -12.5 o226.0
WAS 12.5 u226.0
MIL -2.5 o231.5
CHI 2.5 u231.5
PHO 6.5 o219.5
GS -6.5 u219.5
DET 6.0 o235.0
DEN -6.0 u235.0
PHI -5.5 o224.0
UTA 5.5 u224.0
DAL -4.5 o222.0
POR 4.5 u222.0
SAC -1.0 o222.5
LAL 1.0 u222.5
Final Dec 28
MIA 110 -1.0 o226.5
ATL 120 1.0 u226.5
Phoenix 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE15-15
Golden State 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE15-15

Phoenix @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan Dunn Points Scored Props ? Phoenix

R. Dunn
small forward SF ? Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the highest three rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Phoenix Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

Ryan Dunn

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the highest three rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Phoenix Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props ? Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF ? Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-122

Andrew Wiggins has registered 17.0 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 83rd percentile. Andrew Wiggins has converted 2.3 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 41.1% on three-pointers (8th-best in the league) vs. the Suns, resulting in a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 3.8 free throws per game this season, significantly higher than his 2.7 rate last season.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Andrew Wiggins has registered 17.0 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 83rd percentile. Andrew Wiggins has converted 2.3 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 41.1% on three-pointers (8th-best in the league) vs. the Suns, resulting in a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 3.8 free throws per game this season, significantly higher than his 2.7 rate last season.

Dennis Schroder Points Scored Props ? Golden State

D. Schroder
point guard PG ? Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Dennis Schroder has attempted 6.2 3-point shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 4.6 rate last season. Dennis Schroder has played 29.3 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Dennis Schroder ranks in the 85th percentile for free throws converted, compiling a colossal 2.9 per game this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Dennis Schroder

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Dennis Schroder has attempted 6.2 3-point shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 4.6 rate last season. Dennis Schroder has played 29.3 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Dennis Schroder ranks in the 85th percentile for free throws converted, compiling a colossal 2.9 per game this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props ? Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF ? Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 7.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are on the road (2nd-most in the NBA). Draymond Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 7.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are on the road (2nd-most in the NBA). Draymond Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props ? Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF ? Phoenix
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale has converted 4.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing away from home. The Phoenix Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Royce O'Neale has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 27.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Royce O'Neale has converted 4.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing away from home. The Phoenix Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Royce O'Neale has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 27.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props ? Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF ? Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 7th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns). Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made a mere 57.1% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly lower than his 73.0 mark last year.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 7th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns). Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made a mere 57.1% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly lower than his 73.0 mark last year.

Tyus Jones Points Scored Props ? Phoenix

T. Jones
point guard PG ? Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Tyus Jones has made 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season while playing on the road. Among all players in the league, Tyus Jones rates in the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.3 minutes per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones registers in the 21st percentile for personal fouls, registering a lowly 1.0 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 6th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.4%). The Phoenix Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyus Jones

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Tyus Jones has made 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season while playing on the road. Among all players in the league, Tyus Jones rates in the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.3 minutes per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones registers in the 21st percentile for personal fouls, registering a lowly 1.0 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 6th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.4%). The Phoenix Suns have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props ? Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF ? Phoenix
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.8
Best Odds
Under
-121
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.8
Best Odds
Under
-121
Projection Rating

When it comes to offense, the Suns's subpar 105.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Suns. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Kevin Durant figures to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board considering being on the road in this contest.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.8
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.8

When it comes to offense, the Suns's subpar 105.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Suns. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Kevin Durant figures to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board considering being on the road in this contest.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props ? Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG ? Phoenix
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Bradley Beal has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (92nd percentile). When it comes to offense, the Suns's subpar 105.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 38.4% on shot attempts from the field (2nd-worst in the league) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Bradley Beal has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (92nd percentile). When it comes to offense, the Suns's subpar 105.0 points per game settles in as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 38.4% on shot attempts from the field (2nd-worst in the league) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props ? Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
center C ? Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis has successfully made 71.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Trayce Jackson-Davis has tallied 25.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Mason Plumlee is a good one; he has given up a massive 18.0 points per game when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Mason Plumlee is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when Plumlee is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 5.6 foul shots per game (100th percentile).

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Trayce Jackson-Davis has successfully made 71.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Trayce Jackson-Davis has tallied 25.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Mason Plumlee is a good one; he has given up a massive 18.0 points per game when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Mason Plumlee is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when Plumlee is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 5.6 foul shots per game (100th percentile).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props ? Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG ? Golden State
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry slots into the 93rd percentile, compiling a massive 22.5 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry places in the 79th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.1 minutes per game this year. Stephen Curry has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Stephen Curry will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry slots into the 93rd percentile, compiling a massive 22.5 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry places in the 79th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.1 minutes per game this year. Stephen Curry has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Stephen Curry will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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