Titans vs Jaguars Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets for NFL Week 17

Farley's best bet: Both teams would be better off losing this contest for draft purposes, but the Jaguars are in a better position to come away with the win.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley ? Betting Analyst
Dec 28, 2024 ? 19:09 ET ? 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 1 hrs
JAC
47 %
TEN
53 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Jacksonville -1.5 (-110) Jacksonville -1.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Brian Thomas Jr. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. rushes for yards.

The Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars meet for the second time in four weeks and my Titans vs. Jaguars predictions don't see much difference from the first one. 

With Mac Jones leading the way, my NFL picks for Sunday, December 29 believe the Jaguars can sweep the season series against their AFC South division foe. 

Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, with the game airing on CBS.

Titans vs Jaguars prediction

Titans vs Jaguars spread prediction 

The Jacksonville Jaguars are home favorites but we’ve seen the line more from -2.5 to -1, with the game becoming closer to a pick’em.

These divisional rivals met earlier in December, a game in which the Jaguars won and covered as three-point road underdogs. Neither the Jaguars nor Titans are good teams and both offenses are struggling but home field should be enough to see the Jaguars cover, just as they did previously.

Titans vs Jaguars moneyline prediction

It makes sense to take the Jaguars -1 on the spread to grab that little bit of extra value but if we’re taking a moneyline bet then we’re taking the Jaguars. These are two terrible teams who would both benefit from losing and getting the higher pick but the Jags didn’t care about that last time they met and should win again.

Titans vs Jaguars Over/Under prediction

We have a very low total for this game, currently sitting at 39.5. It really cannot be stressed how poor these offenses have been this season and with their last meeting, just three games ago, ending 10-6 to the Jaguars, we’re going to be smashing the Under here. The Titans' defense, in particular their secondary is good, but there’s very little else going for the team and a matchup between Mason Rudolph and Mac Jones is unlikely to become a shootout.

My best bet
Jaguars -1 (-110 at BetMGM)

My analysis

For our best bet of this AFC South clash we’re taking the Jacksonville Jaguars -1. You can’t be truly confident backing any team with just three wins to their name all season but a look at the numbers indicates that it’s probably the smart play here.

So let’s start with the last time these teams met. That was only three games ago, early in December, in a game that finished 10-6 to the Jaguars. In truth, there are likely to be a lot of similarities between that game in Nashville and the upcoming game this weekend. The Jaguars had Mac Jones at quarterback but the Tennessee Titans still had Will Levis at that time, although Mason Rudolph feels like a change at QB that doesn’t really impact the team much, and is arguably a downgrade. 

That game was a very dull matchup with neither team managing to put up 300 yards of offense. The Jaguars scored the only touchdown of the game through Tank Bigsby and the remaining points came via the boots of each team’s kicker. 

Nothing has really changed much since that game. These are two of the very worst teams in the NFL and there’s very little reason for either team to win. You could argue that it would be better for each franchise to lose. We know that in reality, that doesn’t come into their thinking. After all, these are players and coaches who want job security more than caring about the long-term success of their teams. That said, we have seen the Jaguars play hard in recent weeks, even if they haven’t had the quality to get the wins. They only lost narrowly to the Texans, showing up in that divisional game and they scared the Jets, as well as a five-point loss to the Raiders last week, in a game that they probably should have won.

These teams are very close in overall talent level but two things set them apart on Sunday. The Jaguars have Brian Thomas Jr., the rookie wideout who already looks like one of the very best in the NFL and is managing to put up big numbers even with Mac Jones at QB. Then you also have the Jaguars having home-field advantage. This team beat the Texans, and covered, on the road earlier this month and in front of their own fans, they should be able to repeat the feat.

Titans vs Jaguars same-game parlay

Jaguars -1

Brian Thomas Jr. anytime TD

Calvin Ridley Over 60.5 receiving yards

First up we’re grabbing our best bet for the game, then we’re going to add Jaguars’ receiver Brian Thomas Jr to score a touchdown. Since the Week 12 bye he’s played four, scored four and despite having Mac Jones as his QB, has excelled. Part of his success has been sheer volume with double-digit targets in every game. 

Our final leg in the SGP is for former Jaguars’ WR Calvin Ridley to have Over 60.5 receiving yards in his revenge game. Nobody has allowed more passing yards than the Jaguars, with an average of 263 per game. Even with Mason Rudolph throwing him the football, we should be able to see Ridley cover.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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More NFL picks and odds from Covers


Titans vs Jaguars odds

Titans vs Jaguars live odds

Titans vs Jaguars opening odds

  • Spread: Tennessee +2.5 | Jacksonville -2.5
  • Moneyline: Tennessee +123 | Jacksonville -148
  • Over/Under: Over 43 | Under 43

Odds courtesy of BetMGM.

Titans vs Jaguars spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Titans are 2-13 ATS.
  • The Jaguars are 7-7-1 ATS.
  • The Over/Under is 9-5-1 for the Titans.
  • The Over/Under is 8-7 for the Jaguars.
  • 55% of Covers Consensus users are backing Tennessee on the spread, while 48% are taking the Over.

Titans vs Jaguars betting trend to know

The Over is a combined 17-11-1 between the teams this season. Find more NFL betting trends for Titans vs. Jaguars.

Titans vs Jaguars game info

Location: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Date: Sunday, 12-29, 2024
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: CBS

Titans vs Jaguars latest injuries

Titans vs Jaguars weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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