Utah vs UCF Predictions, Picks, Odds for College Football Week 14

Rosales' Prediction: A 9.5-point spread is too lofty for a matchup between underwhelming teams. UCF will win, but the Utes will keep it close.

Eric Rosales - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Eric Rosales ? Betting Analyst
Nov 29, 2024 ? 17:15 ET ? 4 min read
Information icon

This article contains predictions for an old game!

Latest NCAAF Picks
Micah Bernard Utah Utes NCAA College Football
Photo By - Imagn Images. Utah Utes running back Bernard Micah carries the ball.

It’s a merciful end to what’s been brutal seasons for both the Utah Utes and the UCF Knights when they square off at FBC Mortgage Stadium tonight.

Utah enters as a 9.5-point road underdog and is in real danger of ending the year on an eight-game losing slide. It’s not much better for the Knights, who have dropped seven of eight. Our Utah vs. UCF predictions won't go so far as to claim an upset, but the Utes can still cover on Friday, November 29.

This is still a matchup of one of the Big 12's best scoring defenses in Utah and a Top 5 offense in UCF. The Utes' defensive prowess informs our college football picks ahead of this 8:00 p.m. ET kickoff on FOX.

Utah vs UCF prediction and best bet

Who will win Utah vs UCF?

During its seven-game slide, Utah has lost by eight points or less five times, including a 22-21 defeat to ninth-ranked BYU and, most recently, 31-28 to the 22nd-ranked Iowa State Cyclones.

The Utes allow just 21.3 points per game, holding opponents to 125.5 yards on the ground (fourth) and 199.7 yards passing (fifth).

It will most likely come down to how Utah handles UCF’s rush attack, which ranks fourth in the nation, churning out a massive 254.9 yards per game.

A dominant 56-12 Knights win over Arizona at home is their only W in the last eight. In their other three losses, they’ve produced an average of 19.3 points per game.

As much as I think Utah can compete, I don’t think they can put up enough points to eclipse the Knights. It won’t be pretty, but UCF escapes with the win.

My best bet
Pick: Utah +9.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis

Utah is coming off a loss to Iowa State, dropping the Utes to 1-7 in Big 12 play, with only the winless Oklahoma State Cowboys owning a worse conference record.

The 28 points were the Utes’ most allowed during this slide. Their offense is scoring just 23.2 points per game (14th in the Big 12) and is Bottom 5 in both rushing and passing yards.

Amazingly, the Utes have only been a betting underdog for the last three games of the season, and they are 2-1-0 against the spread in those contests.

The UCF Knights scored just 21 points in their most recent loss, their lowest scoring output in the last four games.

Still, they are fifth in the Big 12 in scoring, putting up 31.9 points per game. However, they are about as one-dimensional as it gets. The Knights’ passing game puts up fewer than 200 yards per contest and ranks 14th in the conference.

The formula is simple against UCF. Neutralize the run, and you have a chance to compete.

While its defense ranks above Utah’s in rush yards allowed at 123.5, it's winless in seven games when the opposition gains better than 70 yards. It's also outside the Top 10 in passing defense, giving up 228.5 yards per game.

Life as a betting favorite hasn’t been great for the Knights, as they are 2-5-0 ATS on the year.

While Utah’s season will end with another loss, it will land you a win if you take the points.

Utah vs UCF same-game parlay (SGP)

Utah +9.5

RJ Harvey Over 94.5 rush yards

Micah Bernard anytime touchdown

Good luck trying to stop RJ Harvey. The Knights running back is closing in on a 1,500-yard rushing year, with 21 touchdowns. He’s gone for at least 127 yards in each of his last five games and has eight with over 100 yards rushing on the season.

Utah’s rush defense is formidable, but Harvey averages just below 20 totes per game and rips off 6.9 yards per rush.

We’ll finish with Utes running back Micah Bernard, who’s closing in on a 1,000-yard season himself, just 78 yards shy of reaching that mark.

We’re targeting a TD for him on Friday. While he only has four rushing scores on the year, Bernard has found paydirt in three different road games.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Best Utah vs UCF bonus

Up to $1,500 in bonus bet insurance at BetMGM

Make your football plays at BetMGM, which is offering new users up to $1,500 in bonus bets (if your first bet doesn't win)!

Sign up now to join the King of Sportsbooks, or learn more with our comprehensive BetMGM sportsbook review.

Eligible U.S. locations only. Also, see our full list of BetMGM bonus codes.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.


More college football picks and odds from Covers


Utah vs UCF odds

Utah vs UCF live odds

Utah vs UCF opening odds

  • Utah vs. UCF spread: UCF -9.5
  • Utah vs. UCF moneyline: Utah +280, UCF -350
  • Utah vs. UCF Over/Under: 49.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Utah vs UCF spread and Over/Under analysis

  • UCF is 1-3-0 ATS in its last four games.
  • The Knights have cashed the Over in four of their last five.
  • Utah has hit the Over in three straight.
  • 64% of Covers Consensus users are backing Utah on the spread, while 63% are taking the Over.

Utah vs UCF betting trend to know

Utah is 2-0-0 against the spread as an underdog of 10 points or less. Find more college football betting trends for Utah vs UCF.

How to watch Utah vs UCF game info

Location: FBC Mortgage Stadium, Orlando, FL
Date: Friday, 11-29, 2024
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Utah vs UCF latest injuries

Utah vs UCF weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
seductrice.net
universo-virtual.com
buytrendz.net
thisforall.net
benchpressgains.com
qthzb.com
mindhunter9.com
dwjqp1.com
secure-signup.net
ahaayy.com
tressesindia.com
puresybian.com
krpano-chs.com
cre8workshop.com
hdkino.org
peixun021.com
qz786.com
utahperformingartscenter.org
worldqrmconference.com
shangyuwh.com
eejssdfsdfdfjsd.com
playminecraftfreeonline.com
trekvietnamtour.com
your-business-articles.com
essaywritingservice10.com
hindusamaaj.com
joggingvideo.com
wandercoups.com
wormblaster.net
tongchengchuyange0004.com
internetknowing.com
breachurch.com
peachesnginburlesque.com
dataarchitectoo.com
clientfunnelformula.com
30pps.com
cherylroll.com
ks2252.com
prowp.net
webmanicura.com
sofietsshotel.com
facetorch.com
nylawyerreview.com
apapromotions.com
shareparelli.com
goeaglepointe.com
thegreenmanpubphuket.com
karotorossian.com
publicsensor.com
taiwandefence.com
epcsur.com
southstills.com
tvtv98.com
thewellington-hotel.com
bccaipiao.com
colectoresindustrialesgs.com
shenanddcg.com
capriartfilmfestival.com
replicabreitlingsale.com
thaiamarinnewtoncorner.com
gkmcww.com
mbnkbj.com
andrewbrennandesign.com
cod54.com
luobinzhang.com
faithfirst.net
zjyc28.com
tongchengjinyeyouyue0004.com
nhuan6.com
kftz5k.com
oldgardensflowers.com
lightupthefloor.com
bahamamamas-stjohns.com
ly2818.com
905onthebay.com
fonemenu.com
notanothermovie.com
ukrainehighclassescort.com
meincmagazine.com
av-5858.com
yallerdawg.com
donkeythemovie.com
corporatehospitalitygroup.com
boboyy88.com
miteinander-lernen.com
dannayconsulting.com
officialtomsshoesoutletstore.com
forsale-amoxil-amoxicillin.net
generictadalafil-canada.net
guitarlessonseastlondon.com
lesliesrestaurants.com
mattyno9.com
nri-homeloans.com
rtgvisas-qatar.com
salbutamolventolinonline.net
sportsinjuries.info
wedsna.com
rgkntk.com
bkkmarketplace.com
zxqcwx.com
breakupprogram.com
boxcardc.com
unblockyoutubeindonesia.com
fabulousbookmark.com
beat-the.com
guatemala-sailfishing-vacations-charters.com
magie-marketing.com
kingstonliteracy.com
guitaraffinity.com
eurelookinggoodapparel.com
howtolosecheekfat.net
marioncma.org
oliviadavismusic.com
shantelcampbellrealestate.com
shopleborn13.com
topindiafree.com
v-visitors.net
djjky.com
053hh.com
originbluei.com
baucishotel.com
33kkn.com
intrinsiqresearch.com
mariaescort-kiev.com
mymaguk.com
sponsored4u.com
crimsonclass.com
bataillenavale.com
searchtile.com
ze-stribrnych-struh.com
zenithalhype.com
modalpkv.com
bouisset-lafforgue.com
useupload.com
37r.net
autoankauf-muenster.com
bantinbongda.net
bilgius.com
brabustermagazine.com
indigrow.org
miicrosofts.net
mysmiletravel.com
selinasims.com
spellcubesapp.com
usa-faction.com
hypoallergenicdogsnames.com
dailyupdatez.com
foodphotographyreviews.com
cricutcom-setup.com
chprowebdesign.com
katyrealty-kanepa.com
tasramar.com
bilgipinari.org
four-am.com
indiarepublicday.com
inquick-enbooks.com
iracmpi.com
kakaschoenen.com
lsm99flash.com
nana1255.com
ngen-niagara.com
technwzs.com
virtualonlinecasino1345.com
wallpapertop.net
casino-natali.com
iprofit-internet.com
denochemexicana.com
eventhalfkg.com
medcon-taiwan.com
life-himawari.com
myriamshomes.com
nightmarevue.com
healthandfitnesslives.com
androidnews-jp.com
allstarsru.com
bestofthebuckeyestate.com
bestofthefirststate.com
bestwireless7.com
britsmile.com
declarationintermittent.com
findhereall.com
jingyou888.com
lsm99deal.com
lsm99galaxy.com
moozatech.com
nuagh.com
patliyo.com
philomenamagikz.net
rckouba.net
saturnunipessoallda.com
tallahasseefrolics.com
thematurehardcore.net
totalenvironment-inthatquietearth.com
velislavakaymakanova.com
vermontenergetic.com
kakakpintar.com
begorgeouslady.com
1800birks4u.com
2wheelstogo.com
6strip4you.com
bigdata-world.net
emailandco.net
gacapal.com
jharpost.com
krishnaastro.com
lsm99credit.com
mascalzonicampani.com
sitemapxml.org
thecityslums.net
topagh.com
flairnetwebdesign.com
rajasthancarservices.com
bangkaeair.com
beneventocoupon.com
noternet.org
oqtive.com
smilebrightrx.com
decollage-etiquette.com
1millionbestdownloads.com
7658.info
bidbass.com
devlopworldtech.com
digitalmarketingrajkot.com
fluginfo.net
naqlafshk.com
passion-decouverte.com
playsirius.com
spacceleratorintl.com
stikyballs.com
top10way.com
yokidsyogurt.com
zszyhl.com
16firthcrescent.com
abogadolaboralistamd.com
apk2wap.com
aromacremeria.com
banparacard.com
bosmanraws.com
businessproviderblog.com
caltonosa.com
calvaryrevivalchurch.org
chastenedsoulwithabrokenheart.com
cheminotsgardcevennes.com
cooksspot.com
cqxzpt.com
deesywig.com
deltacartoonmaps.com
despixelsetdeshommes.com
duocoracaobrasileiro.com
fareshopbd.com
goodpainspills.com
hemendekor.com
kobisitecdn.com
makaigoods.com
mgs1454.com
piccadillyresidences.com
radiolaondafresca.com
rubendorf.com
searchengineimprov.com
sellmyhrvahome.com
shugahouseessentials.com
sonihullquad.com
subtractkilos.com
valeriekelmansky.com
vipasdigitalmarketing.com
voolivrerj.com
zeelonggroup.com
1015southrockhill.com
10x10b.com
111-online-casinos.com
191cb.com
3665arpentunitd.com
aitesonics.com
bag-shokunin.com
brightotech.com
communication-digitale-services.com
covoakland.org
dariaprimapack.com
freefortniteaccountss.com
gatebizglobal.com
global1entertainmentnews.com
greatytene.com
hiroshiwakita.com
iktodaypk.com
jahatsakong.com
meadowbrookgolfgroup.com
newsbharati.net
platinumstudiosdesign.com
slotxogamesplay.com
strikestaruk.com
trucosdefortnite.com
ufabetrune.com
weddedtowhitmore.com
12940brycecanyonunitb.com
1311dietrichoaks.com
2monarchtraceunit303.com
601legendhill.com
850elaine.com
adieusolasomade.com
andora-ke.com
bestslotxogames.com
cannagomcallen.com
endlesslyhot.com
iestpjva.com
ouqprint.com
pwmaplefest.com
qtylmr.com
rb88betting.com
buscadogues.com
1007macfm.com
born-wild.com
growthinvests.com
promocode-casino.com
proyectogalgoargentina.com
wbthompson-art.com
whitemountainwheels.com
7thavehvl.com
developmethis.com
funkydogbowties.com
travelodgegrandjunction.com
gao-town.com
globalmarketsuite.com
blogshippo.com
hdbka.com
proboards67.com
outletonline-michaelkors.com
kalkis-research.com
thuthuatit.net
buckcash.com
hollistercanada.com
docterror.com
asadart.com
vmayke.org
erwincomputers.com
dirimart.org
okkii.com
loteriasdecehegin.com
mountanalog.com
healingtaobritain.com
ttxmonitor.com
nwordpress.com
11bolabonanza.com