ATL 8.0 o236.5
NY -8.0 u236.5
GS 2.0 o222.5
HOU -2.0 u222.5
Golden State 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE14-9
Denver 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE12-10

Golden State @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props ? Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
center C ? Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Trayce Jackson-Davis comes in at the 93rd percentile for field goal ability away from his home court with an outstanding 63.5% rate this year. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a good one; he has allowed a massive 20.3 points per game while at home when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The faceoff with Nikola Jokic with respect to getting to the foul line slots into just the 96th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a whopping 5.2 foul shots per game this year when they are playing on the road.

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Among all players in the league, Trayce Jackson-Davis comes in at the 93rd percentile for field goal ability away from his home court with an outstanding 63.5% rate this year. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a good one; he has allowed a massive 20.3 points per game while at home when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The faceoff with Nikola Jokic with respect to getting to the foul line slots into just the 96th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a whopping 5.2 foul shots per game this year when they are playing on the road.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props ? Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG ? Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have put up 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a positive matchup for offensive output. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup vs. Denver may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (2nd-most in the league).

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have put up 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a positive matchup for offensive output. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup vs. Denver may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (2nd-most in the league).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props ? Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG ? Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has attempted 15.0 shots from the field per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray measures in the 85th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, logging 6.2 per game this year. Jamal Murray has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one; when the Golden State Warriors are away from home, they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (24.4). The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

Jamal Murray has attempted 15.0 shots from the field per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray measures in the 85th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, logging 6.2 per game this year. Jamal Murray has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one; when the Golden State Warriors are away from home, they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (24.4). The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props ? Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG ? Golden State
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry has posted 21.8 points per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Denver may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (3rd-most in the league).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Stephen Curry has posted 21.8 points per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Denver may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (3rd-most in the league).

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props ? Denver

N. Jokić
center C ? Denver
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
28
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to three-point attempts. The clash with Kevon Looney rates in the 4th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs burying a mere 16.4% of their attempts from downtown this year. The Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28

The Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to three-point attempts. The clash with Kevon Looney rates in the 4th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs burying a mere 16.4% of their attempts from downtown this year. The Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props ? Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF ? Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has made 60.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 18.2% more than he's made over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, making this a favorable matchup. The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

Michael Porter Jr. has made 60.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 18.2% more than he's made over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, making this a favorable matchup. The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props ? Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG ? Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has converted 57.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 12.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Peyton Watson has made 46.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 11.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. Peyton Watson has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.4 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Peyton Watson has converted 57.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 12.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Peyton Watson has made 46.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 11.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. Peyton Watson has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.4 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props ? Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF ? Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props ? Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF ? Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Andrew Wiggins has tallied 16.8 points per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard. Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted in all games this year. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Among all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins slots into the 89th percentile for getting to the foul line, logging a massive 4.2 foul shots per game this year.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Andrew Wiggins has tallied 16.8 points per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard. Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted in all games this year. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Among all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins slots into the 89th percentile for getting to the foul line, logging a massive 4.2 foul shots per game this year.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props ? Golden State

B. Hield
shooting guard SG ? Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Buddy Hield has successfully made a terrific 3.4 treys per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.5 mark last season. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Buddy Hield places in the 82nd percentile for foul-shot efficiency on the road with a superb 90.0% rate this year.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Buddy Hield has successfully made a terrific 3.4 treys per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.5 mark last season. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Buddy Hield places in the 82nd percentile for foul-shot efficiency on the road with a superb 90.0% rate this year.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props ? Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG ? Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook has sunk 53.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.8% more than he's made overall this season at home. The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Russell Westbrook has attempted 4.1 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Russell Westbrook figures to see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Russell Westbrook has sunk 53.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.8% more than he's made overall this season at home. The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Russell Westbrook has attempted 4.1 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Russell Westbrook figures to see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props ? Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG ? Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has sunk 72.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 12.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Christian Braun has converted 49.6% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. In contrast to last season's 19.8 clip, Christian Braun's playing time has surged this season to 34.9 minutes per game. The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Christian Braun has sunk 72.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 12.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Christian Braun has converted 49.6% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. In contrast to last season's 19.8 clip, Christian Braun's playing time has surged this season to 34.9 minutes per game. The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props ? Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF ? Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 59.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last season's 1.1 mark, Aaron Gordon's off the mark foul shot attempts have been reduced this season to 0.5 per game.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 59.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last season's 1.1 mark, Aaron Gordon's off the mark foul shot attempts have been reduced this season to 0.5 per game.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props ? Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF ? Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has sunk 81.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 21.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a good one; he has allowed a massive 20.3 points per game while at home when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The faceoff with Nikola Jokic with respect to getting to the foul line slots into just the 96th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a whopping 5.2 foul shots per game this year when they are playing on the road.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Kevon Looney has sunk 81.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 21.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a good one; he has allowed a massive 20.3 points per game while at home when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The faceoff with Nikola Jokic with respect to getting to the foul line slots into just the 96th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a whopping 5.2 foul shots per game this year when they are playing on the road.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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