The Green Bay Packers are winners of four of their last five, and are looking for revenge as they travel to take on the Minnesota Vikings who beat them earlier in the season 31-29.
The Packers should have the edge on Sunday to help break the Vikings eight-game win streak as we dive into why in my Packers vs. Vikings predictions.
Continue reading for free NFL picks on Sunday, December 29.
Packers vs Vikings prediction
My best bet
Packers moneyline (+100 at BetMGM)
My analysis
The Green Bay Packers defensive track record is worth highlighting here. They've allowed 20+ points just once in their last seven games and that was to the Detroit Lions, who has put up monster performances against the rest of the league.
Last week they held the Saints to the season's first shutout and held the Seahawks to just 13 the week prior, a team the Minnesota Vikings had surrendered 24 points to just last week.
Minnesota has been great in their own right, but they have picked on some bad offense as of late.
Last week they gave up 24 points to an injured Geno Smith, and before that they faced Caleb Williams, Kirk Cousins (who was immediately benched after), Kyler Murray, Caleb Williams again, Will Levis, Mac Jones, and Joe Flacco (who was also later benched).
Despite the weak competition, they still have allowed 20+ points in four of their last five games.
Packers vs Vikings same-game parlay
Packers moneyline
Jordan Love Under 6.5 rushing yards
Jordan Love has been great at using his feet to extend plays in his two years as a starter, but that hasn't necessarily translated to rushing production.
His rushing prop of 6.5 yards for Sunday seems criminally low at first, but he has actually managed to go over that mark just four of his 13 starts this year.
In fact, outside of a 23 yard performance in garbage time against the Lions he has tallied 2, 4, 0, and 2 in the other four of his last five starts.
In the passing attack, we should expect to see Tucker Kraft continue on his recent string of production. The second-year tight end now has averaged 54.0 yards per game in his last four after having gone over that mark just twice in his previous 11 games.
Christian Watson is questionable for the game after having not practiced all week, and the Vikings have been just league average against tight ends despite being stout everywhere else.
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More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Packers vs Vikings odds
Packers vs Vikings live odds
Packers vs Vikings opening odds
- Spread: Green Bay +1.5 | Minnesota -1.5
- Moneyline: Green Bay +100 | Minnesota -120
- Over/Under: Over 48.5 | Under 48.5
Odds courtesy of BetMGM.
Packers vs Vikings spread and Over/Under analysis
- Minnesota's 10-4-1 record against the spread is good for the second-best cover rate on the year.
- Green Bay is not far behind at 9-6 ATS, and their cover rate of 60.0% is tied for the seventh-best mark on the year.
- The Vikings are 5-2 ATS at home this year (tied second), while the Packers are 4-2 on the road (tied sixth).
- Both Green Bay and Minnesota are 9-6 to the Under this year, putting them at a 60% rate that is good for the fourth-highest.
Packers vs Vikings betting trend to know
The Vikings are 5-2 to the Under at home compared to 4-4 on the road. Find more NFL betting trends for Packers vs. Vikings.
Packers vs Vikings game info
| Location: | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date: | Sunday, 12-29, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 4:25 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX |
Packers vs Vikings latest injuries
Packers vs Vikings weather
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