Wake Forest vs Miami Predictions, Picks, Odds for College Football Week 13

Miami will be eager to shake off a loss to Georgia Tech, and Wake Forest's dreadful defense can help them do just that. But the Demon Deacons will also get in on the scoring in an early Saturday thriller.

Rob Paul - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rob Paul ? Betting Analyst
Nov 23, 2024 ? 09:15 ET ? 4 min read
Cam Ward Miami Hurricanes CFB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: Cam Ward.

The last time the Miami Hurricanes took the field, they were upset by Georgia Tech. Today, Cam Ward & Co. should hang plenty of points on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff is at Noon on ESPN.

Thanks to Ward and this explosive offense taking on a Demon Deacons defense that’s non-existent, my Wake Forest vs. Miami predictions and college football picks for Saturday, November 23 expect this matchup to be all about the offensive fireworks.

Wake Forest vs Miami prediction and best bet

Who will win Wake Forest vs Miami?

This is not a classic Dave Clawson Wake Forest team capable of upsetting a more talented program. The Demon Deacons look like they’ll be missing a bowl game for the second straight season for the first time since 2014-15.

Meanwhile, Miami has the best QB in the country in Ward and a pass-catching corps full of future NFL players. Wake Forest just doesn’t have the athleticism on defense to stop Ward from lighting up its secondary. The Hurricanes take this one, 45-23.

My best bet
Over 64.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis

One of these offenses is arguably the best in the country, and the other is led by former Boise State and Louisiana Tech starting QB Hank Bachmeier. While the 25-year-old Bachmeier should probably be more focused on working on his LinkedIn rather than trying to upset the Miami Hurricanes, he is in position to lead the Wake Forest Demon Deacons to another Over.

Wake Forest has hit the game total Over in seven of its last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI), and for as bad the team is this season, the offense has had a few moments. Wake is just 83rd in SP+, but its offense is 59th and has scored 23-plus points in eight of 10 games.

The Demon Deacons have a few playmakers for Bachmeier to lean on too in running back Demond Claiborne and wide receiver Taylor Morin. Those three have Wake ranked Top 80 in both EPA per rush and dropback.

Wake is capable of doing enough on offense for Over bettors with Miami set to do the heavy lifting in one of the most lopsided matchups of the season in the ACC. 

The Hurricanes are the No. 1 offense by SP+ and are averaging the most points per game in the country this season (45.0). They’ve scored 36-plus points in nine of 10 games and 40-plus in six of them.

That’s because Ward has Mario Cristobal’s team No. 5 in EPA per dropback and poised to expose a Wake Forest defense that’s 107th in EPA per dropback. Wake is 114th in points allowed (32.5) and allowing the fifth-most yards per game in the Power 4 (437.9).

And it’s not as if Miami’s run game isn’t equally as competent — it’s fifth in EPA per rush. So between Ward, Damien Martinez, Xavier Restrepo, and several other future NFL playmakers, Miami is set to score 40-plus again and cash this Over.

Wake Forest vs Miami same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 64.5

Cam Ward Over 324.5 passing yards

Xavier Restrepo Over 89.5 receiving yards

Ward can still get back into the Heisman odds race, and Wake Forest is the perfect team to do it against. The Demon Deacons are allowing the fifth-most passing yards per game in the nation (281.9) and Ward has thrown for 325+ in seven of 10 games.

He’s first in college football in passing yards (3,494) and fourth in big-time throws (24), per PFF. With a room of pass-catchers that will be playing on Sundays, he should once again fly past this line.

It helps that he has one of the best receivers in the country in Restrepo, too. Restrepo has gone Over 89.5 receiving yards in six games this season.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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More college football picks and odds from Covers


Wake Forest vs Miami odds

Wake Forest vs Miami live odds

Wake Forest vs Miami opening odds

  • Wake Forest vs. Miami spread: Miami -23.5
  • Wake Forest vs. Miami moneyline: Wake Forest +1,200 | Miami -3,000
  • Wake Forest vs. Miami Over/Under: 65.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Wake Forest vs Miami spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Miami opened between a 23.5 and 24-point favorite with most books now offering the Hurricanes between -24.5 and -25.5.
  • Miami is 5-5 ATS this season while Wake Forest is just 3-5-2.
  • The Over/Under opened as high as 67.5 with most books coming down to 64.5.
  • The Hurricanes are among the best Over teams in the country at 7-2-1 and the Demon Deacons are 5-5.

Wake Forest vs Miami betting trend to know

Miami has hit the game total Over in nine of its last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Wake Forest vs Miami.

Wake Forest vs Miami game info

Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Date: Saturday, 11-23-2024
Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Wake Forest vs Miami latest injuries

Wake Forest vs Miami weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Not intended for use in MA.
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Rob Paul - Contributor at Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Rob has contributed to various sports media outlets since 2018, including FanSided and Pro Football Network, but Covers is the first site he’s worked at that is dedicated solely to the sports betting industry. Before working in sports media full-time, he spent five years as a local community journalist after attending Durham College for journalism and Wilfrid Laurier University for history.

He’s long been involved in sports in one way or another, previously hosting a podcast focused on the NFL draft and college football. Working as a freelance podcast producer, Rob has appeared on numerous sports podcasts and college football shows. He's also been a guest on SportsTalk Mississippi, discussing the NFL draft.

One of his favorite things about the sports betting industry is the way it helps shine a light on sports that get less coverage. He’s a diehard player prop bettor who always recommends using stats and analytics to identify the best players to back before placing a bet.

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