Rice vs Memphis Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets: Tigers Have Trouble Getting Back on Beam

The Memphis Tigers have been good at home, but not dominant, and they may still be licking their wounds from a crushing loss last week. The Rice Owls should be able to take advantage and make this a close game, per our college football betting picks.

Eric Rosales - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Eric Rosales ? Betting Analyst
Nov 8, 2024 ? 18:03 ET ? 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Memphis Tigers Anderson Henigan NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: Memphis Tigers quarterback Anderson Henigan handing the ball off.

With their chances at the College Football Playoff dashed with an upset loss last week, can the Memphis Tigers regroup to compete for an American Athletic Conference crown?

Tonight they host the Rice Owls — who are coming off their own upset stunner in Week 10 — as 9.5-point favorites in the college football odds.

My Rice vs. Memphis predictions have this one coming in close, with the Owls threatening to throw another wrench in the AAC picture in my college football picks for November 8.

Kickoff is set for 9:00 p.m. ET from Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, with the game airing on ESPN2.

Rice vs Memphis prediction and best bet

My best bet
Rice +9.5 (-115 at FanDuel)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis

The Memphis Tigers' dreams of qualifying for the CFP were blown up with a 44-36 loss to UTSA last week, but they still have three games left to play.

They’re still technically in the mix for a conference title, and they’ve guaranteed themselves a bowl game, but this next matchup against the Rice Owls might be a tough one to play through.

The Owls enter this one having dumped the Navy Midshipmen, 24-10, knocking them from the ranks of the AAC unbeatens. They also have a win over UTSA this year — the two teams that have hung losses on the Tigers.

Rice brings a top-tier defense to the table, ranking 23rd in the nation in total yards allowed, which will go head-to-head with Memphis’ offensive attack that sits 26th in total yards at just under 440 per game.

It should be a real battle of wits in the passing game. Memphis is 21st in the country and Top 3 in the AAC, churning out 282.9 yards per game. But the Owls are a Top 10 unit defending the pass, surrendering 159.2 yards per contest.

Memphis has scored at least 20 points in every game this year and have cracked the 30-point plateau six times, averaging 34.2 points per game on the season.

Despite going 2-3 in their last five, Rice has only allowed one team to score than 24 points and are allowing 23.3 points per game on the season.

The Owls are 3-1-0 against the spread in their last four as betting underdogs in each, while the Tigers are 1-5-0 ATS in their last six, each time as a betting favorite.

This has emotional letdown game all over it. Memphis is still more talented and should beat the Owls, but moving past the big picture disappointment with the current task at hand might take a few quarters to shake off.

Rice vs Memphis same-game parlay (SGP)

Rice +9.5

Seth Henigan Under 273.5 passing yards

Mario Anderson Over 109.5 rushing yards

Memphis QB Seth Hanigan is coming off his biggest statistical effort this season, putting up 454 yards passing and four TDs in the UTSA loss. He’s got a bit of a high total against Rice and that passing defense, which has not allowed any QB this season to reach 260 yards passing.

Henigan has topped this total just four times on the year, once against FCS school North Alabama, as well as North Texas and UTSA, teams ranked in the bottom four pass defenses in the AAC. The highest ranked pass defense was against Navy, seventh in the AAC.

That plays into the next part of the parlay, and Tigers’ running back Mario Anderson Jr. He is coming off a rough outing against the Roadrunners, with just 53 yards on 12 carries, but he did score his 14th TD of the year.

Anderson had rushed for at least 117 yards in four of his previous five games, and although this is a very high total of 109.5, running the ball might be the best way to puncture the Owls’ defense.

Rice’s run defense is middle of the pack in the AAC and 84th in the nation, giving up 157.9 yards per game.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Rice vs Memphis odds

Rice vs Memphis live odds

Rice vs Memphis opening odds

  • Rice vs. Memphis spread: Memphis -10.5
  • Rice vs. Memphis moneyline: Rice +300, Memphis -385
  • Rice vs. Memphis Over/Under: 52.5

Odds courtesy of FanDuel.

Rice vs Memphis spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Rice has yet to win a game on the road this season (0-4-0).
  • The Tigers are 5-0 at home this year, but just 2-3 against the spread.
  • The Owls have cashed the Under in four of their last five.

Rice vs Memphis betting trend to know

Ten of Memphis' last 11 games against conference opponents have gone Over the total. Find more college football betting trends for Rice vs Memphis.

Rice vs Memphis game info

Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN
Date: Friday, 11-8-2024
Kickoff: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN2

Rice vs Memphis latest injuries

Rice vs Memphis weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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