🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

WARNING!  Hot Streak alert!

Currently on 26 - 7 hot streak. THAT IS BAD NEWS! Streaks don't last!!!  Regression likely!!! As I always do in these situations I REDUCE my bet sizing significantly in anticipation of regression (losses)  Tailing is NOT recommended!  But if you do, bet very small.

Week 13 continued: 

2 - 0  so far from Thursday...

Jets  -118  *BB

Vikes -177 *BB

Commandos -248 *BB

Early game results....but still anticipating likely regression at some point:

 L   Jets -118  *BB
W   Vikes  -177    *BB
W   Commandos -248 *BB

 L   Into the early 3Q; 9 - 6...AZ ball...LIVE hedge BET: Cards -150
W  21 - 26...under 4.5 mins...LIVE hedge BET: Seahawks -4.5 -320

Lean to Saints for possible LIVE bet...but must have positive metrics!

LEANS to BUCS and Ravens also...but must have positive metrics!

Late 1Q Saints lead 3 - 0, driving...LIVE BET:  Saints -130

Your whole analysis is bullcrap along with your record. You NEVER come out and call a game. Always leans or statements then you call them wins. You lay a lot of cash to win so little. I guess it feeds your ego. Just saying, another man's opinion on an open forum. Good luck with your "leans".

RAY, how did you make out with those teasers the other day?!

RAY, how did you make out with those teasers the other day?!

Wow. 

By the looks of it in the 1H Carolina is playing EVEN with Tampa and the score is tied at 10 but the Panthers are driving!! 

Wow. 

By the looks of it in the 1H Carolina is playing EVEN with Tampa and the score is tied at 10 but the Panthers are driving!!

  Mayfield NOT having a particularly good day!

Bucs LOSING to Panthers 10 - 13 at HT

tampa very thin db's

Tampa better step up 

Both BUCS and Panthers have lost 2 defenders each in the game.

Wow.  Regression week. 

My SAINTS bet in big jeopardy now due to Taysom Hill being carted off.

He is their single BEST offensive player (including Carr!)

Hyper-extended knee.  Likely out 2 weeks at least.

LUCKY RAMS that Hill got carted off...

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

Regression, as feared in post #5626.  No biggie though as I always reduce bet size when a hot streaks signals that regression is imminent:

 L   Jets -118  *BB
W   Vikes  -177    *BB
W   Commandos -248 *BB

 L   Into the early 3Q; 9 - 6...AZ ball...LIVE hedge BET: Cards -150
W  21 - 26...under 4.5 mins...LIVE hedge BET: Seahawks -4.5 -320

 L   Late 1Q Saints lead 3 - 0, driving...LIVE BET: Saints -130

[/Quote

3 - 3 on REGRESSION day, as I anticipated....

fortunately my losses are minimized by reduced bey sizes as stated earlier.

5 - 3  so far this week

BoL fellas!

Bills down 0 - 3....late 1Q Bills driving!...LIVE BET: BILLS -180

And sure enough... I make the bet and Josh Allen injures his hand!!!

@fubah2

 I caught that live bet as wellĄ­. -180 MAX play.  

GL Fubah 

@JJWoods

 GREAT!  I hope you win!!

@JJWoods

 good call 

Good job, you won! 

WINNER!