Stanford vs San Jose State Predictions, Picks, Odds for College Football Week 14

Our college football betting picks don't think Stanford is getting enough credit for its late-season improvement and strength of schedule advantage over San Jose State. Find out how this translates to a low-scoring first half on Friday.

JD Yonke - Contributor at Covers.com
JD Yonke ? Contributor
Nov 29, 2024 ? 13:22 ET ? 4 min read
Information icon

This article contains predictions for an old game!

Latest NCAAF Picks
Stanford Cardinal NCAAF Ashton Daniels
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: Ashton Daniels.

It’s time for the Bill Walsh Legacy Game as the Stanford Cardinal (3-8) face the San Jose State Spartans (6-5) today in Week 14. Kickoff is at 4:00 p.m. ET at CEFCU Stadium, and CBS has the live broadcast.

It’ll be the regular season finale for both teams. Stanford didn’t show as much improvement as many expected in Year 2 under Troy Taylor, whereas SJSU was better than many expected in Year 1 of the Ken Niumatalolo era. 

Find out why I think Stanford can finish strong despite a slow start to proceedings in my Stanford vs. San Jose State predictions and college football picks for Friday, November 29.

Stanford vs San Jose State prediction and best bet

Who will win Stanford vs San Jose State?

Stanford. I’m taking the upset as SJSU just put forth a brutal performance last Friday, and I can’t trust a team as a favorite if its quarterback can’t even complete 20% of his passes, which was the case with SJSU’s Walker Eget last week against UNLV.

The Cardinal are a young team that has shown improvement lately, beating Louisville two games ago. There’s a massive strength of schedule differential between these two squads, so the Spartans may be caught off guard. 

My best bet
First Half Under 27.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

My analysis

The San Jose State Spartans just played a game in which its starting quarterback, Walker Eget, completed four of his 22 pass attempts. The books witnessed this and then set the total of their next game at 55.5, with the first-half total hanging at 27.5.

No thank you — give me the Under. 

Sure, there was some poor weather in the game last week against UNLV that helped lead to Eget’s deficiencies through the air. Still, good offensive teams will overcome that, and the Spartans didn’t. 

The Spartans want to throw (sixth in pass rate), but it’s hard to do so efficiently when you can’t block (123rd in PFF’s pass blocking grade). Stanford doesn’t have a great defense, but its strength is along the defensive front, making this a fine matchup in which it can create some pressure and make Eget uncomfortable. 

Their identity has been on the defensive side of the ball in Year 1 under Ken Niumatalolo. The Spartans rank 22nd in EPA per play on that side of the ball, led by a strong rushing defense (20th in EPA per rush) and a stout defensive front (30th in line yards, 35th in stuff rate). 

The Stanford Cardinal don’t have much ability to run the ball, averaging 3.6 yards per rush while ranking 102nd in rushing success rate. The offensive line has had massive issues (117th in line yards, 126th in stuff rate, and 131st in front-seven havoc), and it should be more of the same against a capable SJSU defensive front. 

Quarterback Ashton Daniels has as many touchdowns as interceptions (nine) and is averaging 6.3 yards per attempt. The fine folks at PFF grade Stanford as the 126th offense (62.8), and that checks out for a team that can’t block, can’t run, and can hardly throw. 

Both teams have trended to the Under this season with identical 4-7 O/U records. Troy Taylor’s Cardinal look to slow things down whenever possible, ranking 104th in plays per minute (2.11). Fresh off one of the worst box scores for a quarterback anyone has ever seen, it’s hard to see Eget and the Spartans crank things up from 0 to 60.

SJSU has cashed the First Half Under in nine of its last 12 games. I’m betting on that coming through once against and am taking Under 27.5 in the First Half as my best bet.  

Stanford vs San Jose State same-game parlay (SGP)

Under 55.5

Stanford +2.5

Handicapping is about more than just “this team has better statistics/metrics, so I’m betting them against the spread.” Allow me to expand on some other factors that have me taking the points with the Cardinal. 

Stanford is still a young team undergoing a rebuild, so it makes sense that it would be a poor team to start the year while finishing stronger. Taylor’s squad shocked the world with a 38-35 win over Louisville two weeks ago and then nearly followed that up with a win over Cal but fell 24-21 in the waning seconds. 

Is SJSU improving as the season goes along? The Spartans have lost two of their last three games and have concerns at quarterback. 

Strength of schedule also plays a factor. Stanford has played the likes of Clemson, Notre Dame, Virginia Tech, SMU, and Louisville — all of whom would be massive favorites over SJSU. According to ESPN’s FPI, Stanford ranks 14th in strength of schedule while SJSU lags behind at 116th. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Best Stanford vs San Jose State bonus

Up to $1,500 in bonus bet insurance at BetMGM

Make your football plays at BetMGM, which is offering new users up to $1,500 in bonus bets (if your first bet doesn't win)!

Sign up now to join the King of Sportsbooks, or learn more with our comprehensive BetMGM sportsbook review.

Eligible U.S. locations only. Also, see our full list of BetMGM bonus codes.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.


More college football picks and odds from Covers


Stanford vs San Jose State odds

Stanford vs San Jose State live odds

Stanford vs San Jose State opening odds

  • Stanford vs. San Jose State spread: San Jose State -2.5
  • Stanford vs. San Jose State moneyline: Stanford +125, San Jose State -145
  • Stanford vs. San Jose State Over/Under: 55.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Stanford vs San Jose State spread and Over/Under analysis

  • One-dimensional, pass-first offenses have had trouble against Stanford. The Cardinal beat Syracuse (26-24) and hung close with TCU (34-27 loss).
  • Stanford is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games against SJSU. The Cardinal are 10-1 straight-up in that span.
  • Sixteen different Stanford players have made their first collegiate starts this season, the eight-most in the FBS. One would think a young squad like this shows improvement at the end of the year, and we’ve seen that come to fruition lately. 
  • 61% of Covers Consensus picks are backing SJSU, while 54% are on the Under.

Stanford vs San Jose State betting trend to know

SJSU has hit the Under in eight of its last 12 games. Find more college football betting trends for Stanford vs San Jose State.

Stanford vs San Jose State game info

Location: CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA
Date: Friday, 11-29-2024
Kickoff: 4:00 p.m. ET
TV: CBS

Stanford vs San Jose State latest injuries

Stanford vs San Jose State weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

JD Yonke
Contributor

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
seductrice.net
universo-virtual.com
buytrendz.net
thisforall.net
benchpressgains.com
qthzb.com
mindhunter9.com
dwjqp1.com
secure-signup.net
ahaayy.com
tressesindia.com
puresybian.com
krpano-chs.com
cre8workshop.com
hdkino.org
peixun021.com
qz786.com
utahperformingartscenter.org
worldqrmconference.com
shangyuwh.com
eejssdfsdfdfjsd.com
playminecraftfreeonline.com
trekvietnamtour.com
your-business-articles.com
essaywritingservice10.com
hindusamaaj.com
joggingvideo.com
wandercoups.com
wormblaster.net
tongchengchuyange0004.com
internetknowing.com
breachurch.com
peachesnginburlesque.com
dataarchitectoo.com
clientfunnelformula.com
30pps.com
cherylroll.com
ks2252.com
prowp.net
webmanicura.com
sofietsshotel.com
facetorch.com
nylawyerreview.com
apapromotions.com
shareparelli.com
goeaglepointe.com
thegreenmanpubphuket.com
karotorossian.com
publicsensor.com
taiwandefence.com
epcsur.com
southstills.com
tvtv98.com
thewellington-hotel.com
bccaipiao.com
colectoresindustrialesgs.com
shenanddcg.com
capriartfilmfestival.com
replicabreitlingsale.com
thaiamarinnewtoncorner.com
gkmcww.com
mbnkbj.com
andrewbrennandesign.com
cod54.com
luobinzhang.com
faithfirst.net
zjyc28.com
tongchengjinyeyouyue0004.com
nhuan6.com
kftz5k.com
oldgardensflowers.com
lightupthefloor.com
bahamamamas-stjohns.com
ly2818.com
905onthebay.com
fonemenu.com
notanothermovie.com
ukrainehighclassescort.com
meincmagazine.com
av-5858.com
yallerdawg.com
donkeythemovie.com
corporatehospitalitygroup.com
boboyy88.com
miteinander-lernen.com
dannayconsulting.com
officialtomsshoesoutletstore.com
forsale-amoxil-amoxicillin.net
generictadalafil-canada.net
guitarlessonseastlondon.com
lesliesrestaurants.com
mattyno9.com
nri-homeloans.com
rtgvisas-qatar.com
salbutamolventolinonline.net
sportsinjuries.info
wedsna.com
rgkntk.com
bkkmarketplace.com
zxqcwx.com
breakupprogram.com
boxcardc.com
unblockyoutubeindonesia.com
fabulousbookmark.com
beat-the.com
guatemala-sailfishing-vacations-charters.com
magie-marketing.com
kingstonliteracy.com
guitaraffinity.com
eurelookinggoodapparel.com
howtolosecheekfat.net
marioncma.org
oliviadavismusic.com
shantelcampbellrealestate.com
shopleborn13.com
topindiafree.com
v-visitors.net
djjky.com
053hh.com
originbluei.com
baucishotel.com
33kkn.com
intrinsiqresearch.com
mariaescort-kiev.com
mymaguk.com
sponsored4u.com
crimsonclass.com
bataillenavale.com
searchtile.com
ze-stribrnych-struh.com
zenithalhype.com
modalpkv.com
bouisset-lafforgue.com
useupload.com
37r.net
autoankauf-muenster.com
bantinbongda.net
bilgius.com
brabustermagazine.com
indigrow.org
miicrosofts.net
mysmiletravel.com
selinasims.com
spellcubesapp.com
usa-faction.com
hypoallergenicdogsnames.com
dailyupdatez.com
foodphotographyreviews.com
cricutcom-setup.com
chprowebdesign.com
katyrealty-kanepa.com
tasramar.com
bilgipinari.org
four-am.com
indiarepublicday.com
inquick-enbooks.com
iracmpi.com
kakaschoenen.com
lsm99flash.com
nana1255.com
ngen-niagara.com
technwzs.com
virtualonlinecasino1345.com
wallpapertop.net
casino-natali.com
iprofit-internet.com
denochemexicana.com
eventhalfkg.com
medcon-taiwan.com
life-himawari.com
myriamshomes.com
nightmarevue.com
healthandfitnesslives.com
androidnews-jp.com
allstarsru.com
bestofthebuckeyestate.com
bestofthefirststate.com
bestwireless7.com
britsmile.com
declarationintermittent.com
findhereall.com
jingyou888.com
lsm99deal.com
lsm99galaxy.com
moozatech.com
nuagh.com
patliyo.com
philomenamagikz.net
rckouba.net
saturnunipessoallda.com
tallahasseefrolics.com
thematurehardcore.net
totalenvironment-inthatquietearth.com
velislavakaymakanova.com
vermontenergetic.com
kakakpintar.com
begorgeouslady.com
1800birks4u.com
2wheelstogo.com
6strip4you.com
bigdata-world.net
emailandco.net
gacapal.com
jharpost.com
krishnaastro.com
lsm99credit.com
mascalzonicampani.com
sitemapxml.org
thecityslums.net
topagh.com
flairnetwebdesign.com
rajasthancarservices.com
bangkaeair.com
beneventocoupon.com
noternet.org
oqtive.com
smilebrightrx.com
decollage-etiquette.com
1millionbestdownloads.com
7658.info
bidbass.com
devlopworldtech.com
digitalmarketingrajkot.com
fluginfo.net
naqlafshk.com
passion-decouverte.com
playsirius.com
spacceleratorintl.com
stikyballs.com
top10way.com
yokidsyogurt.com
zszyhl.com
16firthcrescent.com
abogadolaboralistamd.com
apk2wap.com
aromacremeria.com
banparacard.com
bosmanraws.com
businessproviderblog.com
caltonosa.com
calvaryrevivalchurch.org
chastenedsoulwithabrokenheart.com
cheminotsgardcevennes.com
cooksspot.com
cqxzpt.com
deesywig.com
deltacartoonmaps.com
despixelsetdeshommes.com
duocoracaobrasileiro.com
fareshopbd.com
goodpainspills.com
hemendekor.com
kobisitecdn.com
makaigoods.com
mgs1454.com
piccadillyresidences.com
radiolaondafresca.com
rubendorf.com
searchengineimprov.com
sellmyhrvahome.com
shugahouseessentials.com
sonihullquad.com
subtractkilos.com
valeriekelmansky.com
vipasdigitalmarketing.com
voolivrerj.com
zeelonggroup.com
1015southrockhill.com
10x10b.com
111-online-casinos.com
191cb.com
3665arpentunitd.com
aitesonics.com
bag-shokunin.com
brightotech.com
communication-digitale-services.com
covoakland.org
dariaprimapack.com
freefortniteaccountss.com
gatebizglobal.com
global1entertainmentnews.com
greatytene.com
hiroshiwakita.com
iktodaypk.com
jahatsakong.com
meadowbrookgolfgroup.com
newsbharati.net
platinumstudiosdesign.com
slotxogamesplay.com
strikestaruk.com
trucosdefortnite.com
ufabetrune.com
weddedtowhitmore.com
12940brycecanyonunitb.com
1311dietrichoaks.com
2monarchtraceunit303.com
601legendhill.com
850elaine.com
adieusolasomade.com
andora-ke.com
bestslotxogames.com
cannagomcallen.com
endlesslyhot.com
iestpjva.com
ouqprint.com
pwmaplefest.com
qtylmr.com
rb88betting.com
buscadogues.com
1007macfm.com
born-wild.com
growthinvests.com
promocode-casino.com
proyectogalgoargentina.com
wbthompson-art.com
whitemountainwheels.com
7thavehvl.com
developmethis.com
funkydogbowties.com
travelodgegrandjunction.com
gao-town.com
globalmarketsuite.com
blogshippo.com
hdbka.com
proboards67.com
outletonline-michaelkors.com
kalkis-research.com
thuthuatit.net
buckcash.com
hollistercanada.com
docterror.com
asadart.com
vmayke.org
erwincomputers.com
dirimart.org
okkii.com
loteriasdecehegin.com
mountanalog.com
healingtaobritain.com
ttxmonitor.com
nwordpress.com
11bolabonanza.com